The Eagles:
I think I go over their schedule in detail every year, and last year I predicted them going 8-8. I was a little off on some parts, exactly right on others, and they ended up being 10-6. I thought they would miss the playoffs during a “retooling” year for Kolb. I couldn’t have reasonably expected Vick to light the world on fire like he did and steal the job, though I did predict that the bitching about the McNabb trade would die almost immediately. Thanks Vick!
On to 2011 (if there is one, yadda…). I mentioned before, (somewhere on this board I think) that the Eagles are remarkably lucky this season with how the schedule breaks down. Of all the teams the Eagles play from outside the NFC East with a winning record last season, only one of four is played on the road. The Eagles get New England, the Jets, and the Bears (finally!) at home. That’s good timing.
The opening of the schedule starts out with two road games (@ StL and @ Atl), of which they can probably win both. I say that knowing Atlanta is much tougher at home, but the Eagles beat them last season with Kolb under center. A motivated Vick might be enough to overcome the road disadvantage. It’s not like Vick is unfamiliar there, and he’s still beloved there. They then immediately go home to face a Giants team likely extra inspired to get revenge for the Miracle at the New Meadowlands, so the first three are tough. I think they come out 2-1, but I wouldn’t be surprised with a 1-2 start.
Things ease up for a bit vs. SF, @ Buf, @ Was, and then with a bye before their home game against Dallas. The 49ers are improving, and Washington always plays the Eagles tough (59-28 excepted), but I think it’s reasonable they get out of there 4-0 or at least 3-1. So we’re looking at possibly 6-1 or 5-2 to start the season.
Chicago looms in week 9, which will be tough with the Bears coming off a bye, but at least it’s at home. The Eagles have played the Bears every year since 2007, and 2007 was the last time the Bears went to Philly. The ghosts of that shitty Soldier Field turf be damned.
I think the hardest stretch is weeks 11-14, and possibly including weeks 15 and 16 as well. Starting week 11 @ NYG, which is sure to be a war, even if the Eagles have played very well there in the Reid era. I’m hoping that will be an early start to the annual Giants decline over the last quarter of the season. Then New England at home, which is no picnic, and then immediately on the road, across the entire country, for a Thursday game @ Seattle. That game will not be easy with such short rest and such a hostile environment… and technically Seattle is a playoff team. Brutal. The Eagles then immediately fly all the way across the country again for a road game in Miami. Even with extra rest, that’s a pretty ridiculous trek.
They cap the season off vs. the Jets, a tough game that could easily go either way, @ Dallas which is a toss up considering how nobody knows which Dallas team will show up next season (the exceptionally talented one or the incredibly crappy one we’ve gotten so often lately). Finally home to finish the season against the Redskins, which means for the first time since 2008 the Eagles won’t close the season against the Cowboys. Hopefully the 'Skins will stink one more season so Philly can close out a playoff berth at home.
I can see a couple tough losses in there, even an inexplicable one which happens every season for no reason whatsoever, and I still come out with a 10-6 record, 9-7 maybe. And that’s before the draft and any potential moves before the season if the CBA gets finished. And the Eagles are poised to make a big move in free agency, they have the room.
I’m also definitely getting Sunday Ticket again, though this is a season where I’ll get a lot of Eagles games without it. They have three Sunday night games, one Monday night and one Thursday night game, and a game against the Cardinals, which I might get to see on TV here in Arizona. So five prime time games, which is understandable for a playoff team with the most electrifying offense in football. Here’s hoping we get football in 2011!