I can already see exactly how this season is going to go for the Giants. More of the same. Maybe this year they’ll win a game in the Wildcard round, but anything beyond that is a long shot.
For the past four seasons, the Giants have started off strong and sputtered down the stretch:
2003: 4-4, 0-8 (4-12)
2004: 5-2, 1-8 (6-10)
2005: 6-2, 5-3 (11-5)
2006: 6-2, 2-6 (8-8)
It is worth nothing that in 2005, the Giants posted a winning record in the second half of the season, a remarkable feat considering the previous two seasons (and the one after.) All four of the seasons listed involved huge numbers of critical season-ending injuries, which was pretty much solely responsible for the implosions. But even in 2005 when the team was holding it together, the only thing you heard out of the NY area was the deafening roar of the lynch mob out for Eli’s head. Not one word about injuries, other than to gripe that Ernie Accorsi hadn’t brought in good enough depth. Fucking New Yorkers are a bunch of dumbasses.
This season I see another strong start followed by a sputtering, injury-prone finish. Analyzing it as the pros do, by quarters:
at Cowboys
vs Packers
at Redskins
vs Eagles
A complete round robin of the division, getting two of the away games out of the way up front. The schedulers were kind to make the Cowboys a night game. Anyone remember back to 2005, the week 6 game in Dallas that went to overtime? It was almost 100 degrees in the sun, and of course the Cowboys put their bench on the shaded side, leaving the visitors to cook in the sun. (Which is very smart; kudos to them. I love natural weather home field advantages.) That won’t be an issue in a night game. I see a worst case 2-2, but quite possible 3-1.
vs Jets
at Falcons
vs 49ers
neutral site at Dolphins
The schedule makers almost look like they’re Giants fans in this quarter. Dodging a west coast trip by hosting the 49ers is great, somebody already mentioned the away record (11-0) in the Giants-Falcons series dating back to the early 80s, and the Dolphins lose their home field advantage in the London game. Nice.
The only way it could be better would be to play as the away team against the Jets, because that would in effect give the Giants nine home games. The stadium has three locker rooms: the Giants, the Jets, and the Visitors. This means that for the Jets, they’ll get to a) not travel and b) use their own locker room. The only difference between that game and a home game is that the fans will be cheering against them (which often serves to just pump the away team up anyway) and they’ll have to use the visitor parking. That’s a de facto 9th home game for the Jets. It’d be nice for the Giants to get that edge, but it’s hard to complain about getting a home game, especially considering that the Giants have flat-out owned the Jets in recent years.
This is a tremendous quarter for the Giants. 4-0 is most likely, though 3-1 wouldn’t be surprising. Going into the bye week, the Giants could easily be 6-2.
vs Cowboys
at Lions
vs Vikings
at Bears
(oh my!)
This section is dicey, to put it mildly. The Giants are 0-2 in their last two games against the Vikings and Lions. In the latter, Joey Harrington passed up a storm, racking up somewhere near a 135 passer rating. The Cowboys may lose a bit of their Meadowland Magic now that Parcells is gone, but they’re still dangerous whenever they come to town. Chicago is plenty capable of beating the Giants straight up. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Big Blue post 1-3 in this quarter; 2-2 would be a resounding success.
at Eagles
vs Redskins
at Bills
vs Patriots
Crap. I expect the Jets to be good enough to make that last game meaningful for the Patriots. The Bills game could be painful if Losman outperforms Eli. At Philly is never a gimme. Who the fuck knows what a late season matchup with the Redskins will bring. No matter what, I expect at least 6 starters to be on IR by this final quarter of the season, so going 2-2 would be great. 1-3 is quite possible too, though.
Adding those up, I predict the 2007 Giants will start of 6-2 and finish off either 3-5 or 4-4 for a final record of either 9-7 or 10-6.
Same as it ever was.