Well three years are almost up so it’s time again for a New Zealand General Election. Here’s our thread from last time.
The campaign officially starts this Wednesday and the election will be held on 20 September. As always wikipedia has a pretty comprehensive pageup.
This time around we’ve got an unholy alliance between a German internet tycoon and Hone Harawira, an explosive book about dirty politics and Colin Craig to add to our topics of discussion.
I don’t think there have been any polls since Hager’s book came out last week, I’d be amazed if had that much effect (to be honest I haven’t read it yet).
National’s poll lead seems untouchable, Labour looks like to collapse even lower than last time. The Greens will likely pick up a couple more MPs. I’m guessing New Zealand First will get over 5% again.
Dunne’s still there and while his hair is greyer it still defies gravity. He still goes by the name ‘United Future’ for electoral purposes.
Rightly or wrongly, the NZ election has not been on my radar previously but the wife of a friend from university is running and it’s consequently been all over my Facebook feed for the last 6 months. Not knowing anything about NZ politics, I note Lisiate’s outlook on the potential fortunes of the Labour Party and hold her chances under due pessimism as a result - though I guess if NZ politics operates on a Westminster style system, she might be in a winnable seat.
Anyway - count me in as an at least somewhat interested observer this time out.
Cheers. Looking at it - and her seat - it would take a fairly large collapse from the Labour Party for her not to get elected; her seat has been Labour every year since 1987 and the outgoing MP appears to have a very large majority. I guess it would be a surprise for her to have to use the list to get in.
There are 8 parties with seats at the moment (actually 7 as ACT’s sole MP resigned after being convicted for signing a false electoral return) and one party which polled more than 1% at the last election (the Conservatives).
As for the big issues, the Hager book has dominated this week’s coverage. For a (reasonably accurate) breakdown of the major parties’ policies go here.
Indeed, I can’t remember any PM firing a senior cabinet minister less than a month out from an election.
Here’s the best summaryI can find of what Collins was involved with.
I guess the US equivalent would be someone like Angelo Mozillo hiring a bunch of bloggers to attack the integrity of the SEC, and then having Eric Holder provide them with information.
I noticed this morning at Wynyard (one of the major Sydney CBD stations) that a couple of people were handing out flyers about the NZ election: targetting the ex-pat community presumably.