A Poll on Biden

Not so. We reelected Sen. Sherrod Brown and elected two Dems to the state supreme court two years ago. And see post 225.

I know Sherrod Brown was reelected in 2018. However, in 2006 he was elected to the Senate by a margin of 496,000 votes. In 2012 he won by a margin of 327,022 votes. In 2018 he won by a margin of 300,949 votes. 2018 was generally a strong year for Democrats. His margin of victory has shrunk over time.

Even if you look at % it has gotten smaller with each election. Obama took Ohio in '08 and '12 but only by 262,224 votes in '08 and 166,277 in '12. DJT beat HRC by 446,837 votes in 2016. When you consider DJT took WI, MI and PA by what…71,000 votes combined and OH has continually showed up in state polls as either within the margin of error or giving Trump the win? Well, I feel comfortable in standing by my previous post that OH has drifted to the right. Maybe I overstated by say it has taken a sharp right turn but I see plenty of data to indicate it is more red than blue at this point in time.

A lot of the right wing media is reporting that Biden lied about a drunk driver killing his family. I did a little digging and it looks like it might be true. As far back as 2007, the driver’s daughter has been disputing that he was drunk and a judge who was the prosecutor on the case says there was no evidence of alcohol being involved. Not sure how true it is, but it sounds legit.

Even if true, no one would care. It’s horrific either way.

But see, even if not “drunk” the driver still killed Biden’s family.

So Pennsylvania is all over the place, but all the polls are biden ahead at least.
Florida is mostly Biden but a tie & a Trump.
Arizona really looks like it might go Biden.
Ohio is close, will probably go Trump, but might just flip to Biden. Amazingly Texas & Georgia are just as close.
North Carolina has Biden slight ahead.
Wisconsin & Michigan looks like they’ll go Biden.

There appears to be at least 4 Senate seats going Blue which would be enough to give the Dems both houses. There could be more.

Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden Univ. of Wis/YouGov Biden 50, Trump 46 Biden +4
Texas: Trump vs. Biden NY Times/Siena* Trump 46, Biden 43 Trump +3
Georgia: Trump vs. Biden NY Times/Siena* Trump 45, Biden 45 Tie
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Univ. of Wis/YouGov Biden 49, Trump 45 Biden +4
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden Univ. of Wis/YouGov Biden 51, Trump 45 Biden +6
Virginia: Trump vs. Biden Christopher Newport Univ. Biden 48, Trump 43 Biden +5
Iowa: Trump vs. Biden NY Times/Siena* Trump 42, Biden 45 Biden +3
Florida: Trump vs. Biden ABC News/Wash Post Biden 47, Trump 51 Trump +4
Florida: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 49, Trump 46 Biden +3
Florida: Trump vs. Biden Reuters/Ipsos Biden 47, Trump 47 Tie
Florida: Trump vs. Biden St. Pete Polls Biden 50, Trump 47 Biden +3
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 49, Trump 45 Biden +4
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Franklin & Marshall Biden 48, Trump 42 Biden +6
Georgia: Trump vs. Biden Monmouth* Trump 48, Biden 46 Trump +2
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 51, Trump 43 Biden +8
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 51, Trump 42 Biden +9
Arizona: Trump vs. Biden ABC News/Wash Post Biden 48, Trump 49 Trump +1
Arizona: Trump vs. Biden Reuters/Ipsos Biden 47, Trump 46 Biden +1
Arizona: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 49, Trump 43 Biden +6
North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden Civitas/Harper ®* Biden 44, Trump 45 Trump +1
North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 48, Trump 46 Biden +2
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Economist/YouGov Biden 49, Trump 42 Biden +7
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Rasmussen Reports Biden 48, Trump 47 Biden +1
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Quinnipiac Biden 52, Trump 42 Biden +10
General Election: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D)* Biden 51, Trump 42 Biden +9
General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Jorgensen vs. Hawkins CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 51, Trump 42, Jorgensen 4, Hawkins 1 Biden +9
Iowa Senate - Ernst vs. Greenfield NY Times/Siena* Greenfield 42, Ernst 40 Greenfield +2
Michigan Senate - James vs. Peters CNBC/Change Research (D) Peters 50, James 44 Peters +6
Arizona Senate - McSally vs. Kelly CNBC/Change Research (D) Kelly 51, McSally 43 Kelly +8
Arizona Senate - McSally vs. Kelly ABC News/Wash Post Kelly 49, McSally 48 Kelly +1
North Carolina Senate - Tillis vs. Cunningham CNBC/Change Research (D) Cunningham 48, Tillis 43 Cunningham +5