I was arguing with someone on another forum shortly after the 2020 election. His position was, “I don’t know that the election was stolen, but there’s too much smoke here for there not to be a fire.” By smoke, he was referring to Trump’s claims that he had mountains of evidence that would be revealed any day now. I think we had a doper here who felt the same way – that Trump wouldn’t claim to have evidence unless he actually had it.
I was, of course, unable to comprehend how an otherwise functioning adult couldn’t look at Trump’s track record and not see his claims as typical bullshit. And the obvious question – if Trump had this evidence, what was he waiting for? Was met with the bullshit response that, for some reason, it could only be released on court. And those damn liberal judges just wouldn’t give him the opportunity.
As time went on, he slowly realized that there was no evidence. And while he never came out and said he thought the election was stolen, he still thought at least some of the claims of fraud had merit, even if they couldn’t be proven. Regardless, his takeaway wasn’t, “Oh, you were right to be skeptical. I need to go reflect on why I allowed myself to be taken by a con man.” It was, rather, “My belief that Trump did have evidence of fraud was justified, and your quick dismissal of the same was motivated solely by your Orange Man Bad bias.” In other words, even though I was right, I was still wrong.
And here we have Sam. Sure, the Durham investigation was proven to be a sham. But Sam was still right in his own mind for taking it seriously, and we’re all wrong in his mind for being so darn dismissive of it. Sure, the Hunter laptop scandal hasn’t amounted to anything. But he’s still right for believing there was something there and we’re all still wrong for rejecting it outright.
I suppose, to put myself in Sam’s shoes, I could come to the same conclusion. For instance, I thought there were WMDs in Iraq. If I’d been arguing with anyone about it, I might say, “Sure, but you were basing your beliefs on conjecture, whereas I was basing my beliefs on the believable testimony of our entire intelligence community.” Ergo, my [lack] of skepticism was justified. Did I reflect after that whole fiasco? Yes. But have I dramatically changed how much I’m willing to trust information from our government? Not really.
This is being pretty generous to Sam, though. Like believing Trump’s election lies, some things are fairly obvious to anyone paying attention, even if the details eventually pan out a little different than they seem at first. The Hunter laptop story had so many red flags that, IMHO, everyone was right to dismiss it. But that blanket dismissal did, unfortunately, get things wrong. Should we reflect on that? Meh. Not much. Certainly not to the extent that Sam should be reflecting on getting something like the Durham investigation so wrong.