I’m going to leave you on your own with all the seasonality stuff, because I never ‘claimed’ anything, and you know it. I said it was my take. I am more than well aware that it is (self-evidently, or tautologically, or trivially even) not yet provable that the thing is seasonal (or not!).
But this response, above – it’s just having the cake and eating it too. My contention is certainly not that there is something about the virus that can help it spread even if every person stayed inside their own homes all the time. My contention is that shutdowns do not successfully reduce spread, probably precisely because there are enough people who cannot stay inside their own homes all the time. Now, that seems like a reasonable enough objection, if we’re trying to figure out what basket to put our mitigation eggs in. Saying that a strategy that seemingly can’t be followed would work if it could only be followed – well, that’s not a place I’d feel comfortable placing those eggs.