We are always hearing on the news about the results of the latest opinion polls for the presidential race, but every poll seems to be simply a nationwide percentage of voters favoring Bush or Kerry.
Do any of the major polling organizations correlate this data by state to show what the electoral college results would be if all these people voted the way they said? Seems to me this would be of interest to the public, and not very difficult to extrapolate from the raw polling data.
Try http://www.electoral-vote.com/ , they average all of the state-by-state polls and project the electoral vote. Seems comprehensive.
Slate also has one: http://www.slate.com/id/2106527/
That site is making me seasick. One day it’s Bush up by 120 EVs, next day it’s Kerry by 98, and on and on… :dubious:
But I take some comfort in knowing that Strategic Vision’s poll (which always polls better for Bush) of Florida shows the race as dead even within the MOE.
The Wall Street Journal has Zogby doing one, also, but they only update it a couple times per month. (They did just update it, though). Zogby was one of only two pollsters that correctly predicted Gore winning the popular vote in '00.
http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-battleground04.html
It just means it’s going to come down to whoever gets the last at-bat.
AHunter3, who is winning in that Zogby poll?
You have to scroll down the bottom of that little frame/portal thingie under the map:
Zobgy: