Milk is roughly $1 a gallon where I live and has been for at least a year or so. I remember 20 years ago it was $3 a gallon.
My understanding is that there was a shortage of dairy several years ago, which caused a lot of investment in production and now they are at high capacity, maybe overcapacity.
Is milk profitable at the current prices, or is production going to start shutting down if it continues to sell at around $1-1.50 a gallon and prices go back up to $2-3 a gallon?
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Really? So am I and recently the only times I’ve seen it under $2/gallon is with a $10 separate purchase … limit 2. And that is like for $1.99. Normally it is in the $2.30-3.25 range depending on % and store.
For whole milk? I wish. Living in Ioway, and it’s routinely 3.x a gallon. Now eggs, they have been inexpensive lately, .90c a dozen, for “extra large”.
I’m in Wisconsin (dairy country), i purchase 200-300 gallons a week for my store and it costs me $1.97 wholesale…Although i carry the name-brand milk. Generic can get down to around the $1.50/gal range.
Here in the great Pacific Northwest, we get a ton of Canadians coming down to our supermarkets and stocking up on gallons and gallons of milk. It costs them about half as much as it does in Canada. Then, on the way home they fill up with gasoline which is also a lot cheaper down here.
I once drove past a big mall just north of Bellingham, and got to counting license plates. Out of 24 cars, 23 were from British Columbia and one lonely soul from Washington.
And Bellingham is about 70 or so miles south of the Canadian border.
Where in the Midwest are you getting it that cheap? Around $2.50 a gallon is the cheapest I’ve ever seen it. I know I’m in Chicago, but I generally know where to find things cheap. I’m in the Quad Cities on the Iowa-Illinois border right now, and I paid two and change for a half gallon of store brand milk today.
Pretty obviously not that low nationally.
In Northern Ohio we pay $1.99-$2.99/gal. Never been any cheaper unless a super weeklong sale as a loss leader. But NEVER even near $1.
Of course, after my last post, I went to Meijer in Bolingbrook, a suburb of Chicago, and they had milk at $1.69 a gallon prominently advertised. It was obviously a loss leader, as the usual inexpensive brand (Dean’s) of non-organic milk was $4.29 a gallon.
You might just live near a big commodity dairy or something. I live in Indiana and usually pay about $3/gallon for ordinary whole milk. Maybe a few cents less at Aldi or Walmart.
I live in PA, which is a big dairy state. But we still pay over $3.00 a gallon everywhere. As with most of the ag industry, there are price supports, surplus purchasing and all sorts of government subsidies in the dairy industry.
But to answer the original question, there is no doubt that the cost of production and distribution is far higher than $1.00 a gallon. Based on what I could find quickly, the cost of production is at least $2.00 a gallon, before adding in transportation and distribution. If subsidies weren’t involved, farmers would cut production because they are losing money at that price.
$1/Gall ?
It has been decades since milk was that cheap around here. I can’t remember ever paying that little. I am in the deep south and $3/gall would be a good price here.
In PA there is a minimum price that all retailers of milk must charge and it is illegal to sell below that price.
Farmers almost never cut production of milk because the federal government will buy milk at a certain price to make into butter and cheese. This minimum price assures that farmers can sell their products at a profit despite what the market for milk is. This cheese is then stored in huge caves.
From my reading the strong dollar is causing a surplus of milk recently as exports go down. But my guess is that prices as low as mentioned in the OP are more likely to be caused by price wars at the retail level than any change in the market for milk at the wholesale level.