Oh, Snap! The WGA didn’t give waivers to the Globes or the Oscars, but they are giving them to the Indpendent Spirit Awards.
Some updates:
The ASC have listed their Cinematography nominations:
The Assassination of Jesse James - Roger Deakins
Atonement - Seamus McGarvey
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly - Janusz Kaminski
No Country for Old Men - Roger Deakins
There Will Be Blood - Robert Elswit
The DGA announces their nominees tomorrow.
And the bake-off finalists for the VFX Oscar have been announced:
The Bourne Ultimatum
Evan Almighty
The Golden Compass
I Am Legend
PotC: At World’s End
300
Transformers
The first one is a head-scratcher, and the inclusion of the horrible (and ugly) 300 is depressing, but the most conspicuous MIA films are Spidey 3 and Potter 4 (though I would’ve loved to see Sunshine make it this far)
And the Make Up branch listed their bake-off finalists for the Oscars:
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Norbit
PotC: At World’s End
Sweeney Todd
300
La Vie en Rose
Probably the biggest surprise here is the omission of Hairspray. Tim Burton has already had four films nominated in this category (with two wins), so a nod for Sweeney will be an Academy record. Most unusual inclusion is Diving Bell, which, despite being the best film on the list, had little makeup to speak of.
It’s good to see Roger Deakins get some love.
As for the makeup, I would LOVE to see Norbit win just so they could re-release a DVD with “Academy Award Winner” right at the top.
That’d be sweet.
Thanks for this ArchiveGuy! I’ve updated my Guild Awards page. Also newly-added are the Visual Effects Society nominations.
Several more Critics’ groups have weighed in with their awards since I last posted in this thread, including the Critics Choice Awards. Here’s my non-Guilds Awards page.
I liked the special effects in The Golden Compass and 300. I didn’t see Evan Almighty, but I guess there was a flood in it? That’s probably what they nominated. I liked Sunshine too, but I never expected it to be recognized.
I suck at predictions, but I’ll predect that I Am Legend, PotC and Transformers will be the Oscar nominations.
The DGA nominees:
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will be Blood
Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country For Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Sean Penn, Into The Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
The WGA nominees:
Original Screenplay
Juno, Written by Diablo Cody
Knocked Up, Written by Judd Apatow
Lars and the Real Girl, Written by Nancy Oliver
Michael Clayton, Written by Tony Gilroy
The Savages, Written by Tamara Jenkins
Adapted Screenplay
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, Screenplay by Ronald Harwood, Based on the Book by Jean-Dominique Bauby
Into the Wild, Screenplay by Sean Penn, Based on the Book by Jon Krakauer
No Country for Old Men, Screenplay by Ethan Coen & Joel Coen, Based on the Novel by Cormac McCarthy
There Will Be Blood, Screenplay by Paul Thomas Anderson, Based on the Novel Oil by Upton Sinclair
Zodiac, Screenplay by James Vanderbilt, Based on the Book by Robert Graysmith
Plus, the Cinema Audio Society announced its 5 nominees for Sound Mixing: The Bourne Ultimatum, Into the Wild, No Country for Old Men, 300, Transformers
Producers Guild Nominees announced:
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
This means the Diving Bell, Clayton, No Country and Blood have all received nods from the Writers, Directors, and Producers (and for the last 3, also the Actors). I’m still hesitant to call Bell a Best Picture nominee lock, but I think it’s safe to say the other 3 are…
I’m loving the love that There Will Be Blood is getting! It’s amazing to me that a movie I’m actually passionate about is getting awards attention. That hasn’t happened since Brokeback Mountain (and before that, Fellowship of the Ring/Moulin Rouge). And if not TWBB, the Coen Brothers, favorite filmmakers of mine since Blood Simple. Truly this is an incredible year. And I’m fairly swooning over the inclusion of The Diving Bell and the Butterfly!! When’s the last time a subtitled foreign film was a PGA nominee?
Poor Atonement. Wins a Golden Globe one night, gets snubbed by the PGA the next. The Guilds just haven’t been going for it. That bodes ill for an Oscar nomination, but it still might get in.
Oscar Locks, IMO:
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Duking it out for the last two spots:
Juno, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, Into The Wild, Atonement
Longshots:
Sweeney Todd, American Gangster, Charlie Wilson’s War
Just this past week, No Country passed O Brother! as the biggest money-making film in the Coens’ career.
If you don’t count Babel, then Crouching Tiger.
Weekend Guild awards results (always available at my awards web site):
AMERICAN SOCIETY OF CINEMATOGRAPHERS (ASC)
Winner:
**THERE WILL BE BLOOD - Robert Elswit **
The other Nominees were:
THE ASSASSINATION OF JESSE JAMES BY THE COWARD ROBERT FORD - Roger Deakins
ATONEMENT - Seamus McGarvey
THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY - Janusz Kaminski
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN - Roger Deakins
(all 5 movies were also nominated for Oscars)
DIRECTORS GUILD (DGA)
Winner(s):
**Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN **
The other Nominees were:
Julian Schnabel - THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY
Sean Penn - INTO THE WILD
Tony Gilroy - MICHAEL CLAYTON
Paul Thomas Anderson - THERE WILL BE BLOOD
(The Coens, Schnabel, Gilroy and Anderson were nominated for Oscar. Sean Penn was replaced by Jason Reitman, director of Juno)
SCREEN ACTORS GUILD (SAG)
Lead Actor Winner:
Daniel Day-Lewis - THERE WILL BE BLOOD
The other Nominees were:
George Clooney - MICHAEL CLAYTON
Ryan Gosling - LARS AND THE REAL GIRL
Emile Hirsch - INTO THE WILD
Viggo Mortensen - EASTERN PROMISES
(Day-Lewis, Clooney and Mortensen were nominated for Oscars. Gosling and Hirsch were replaced by Johnny Depp for Sweeney Todd and Tommy Lee Jones for In The Valley of Elah)
Lead Actress Winner:
**Julie Christie - AWAY FROM HER **
The other Nominees were:
Cate Blanchett - ELIZABETH: THE GOLDEN AGE
Marion Cotillard - LA VIE EN ROSE (Môme, La)
Angelina Jolie - A MIGHTY HEART
Ellen Page - JUNO
(Christie, Blanchett, Cotillard and Page were nominated for Oscars. Jolie was replaced by Laura Linney for The Savages)
Supporting Actor Winner:
Javier Bardem - NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
The other Nominees were:
Casey Affleck - THE ASSASSINATION OF JESSE JAMES BY THE COWARD ROBERT FORD
Tommy Lee Jones - NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Hal Holbrook - INTO THE WILD
Tom Wilkinson - MICHAEL CLAYTON
(Bardem, Affleck, Holbrook and Wilkinson were nominated for Oscars. Jones was replaced by Philip Seymour Hoffman for Charlie Wilson’s War)
Supporting Actress Winner:
Ruby Dee - AMERICAN GANGSTER
The other Nominees were:
Cate Blanchett - I’M NOT THERE
Catherine Keener - INTO THE WILD
Amy Ryan - GONE BABY GONE
Tilda Swinton - MICHAEL CLAYTON
(Dee, Blanchett, Ryan and Swinton were nominated for Oscars. Keener was replaced with Saorise Ronan for Atonement)
Cast Ensemble (the SAG version of Best Picture) Winner:
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
The other Nominees were:
3:10 TO YUMA
AMERICAN GANGSTER
HAIRSPRAY
INTO THE WILD
(No Country was the only film also nominated for a Best Picture Oscar. The other Oscar nominees are Atonement, Juno, Michael Clayton and There Will Be Blood)
Thanks for the update, Equipoise. 
If you need to catch up on the Best Picture nominees, select AMC Theatres are showing all 5 films in one day for $30 total. The schedule across the country is the same:
11am - Michael Clayton
1:20pm - There Will Be Blood
4:20pm - Atonement
7pm - Juno
9pm - No Country for Old Men
This is on Saturday, February 23rd, though tickets are on sale now.
That’s a great deal, though I wonder how they came up with that ordering. I’ve already seen all of these multiple times but if they were in a different order I’d do this just because it would be fun. We did the Trilogy Tuesday at AMC and had a fantastic time.
My preferred order would be:
Juno (if this were first, I’d skip it and sleep in)
Atonement
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood (I’ve been wanting to do these last two as a double-feature)
Since my wife hasn’t seen the Coen or Anderson films, and would be very happy to see her boyfriend again, the spacing works out well for us, giving us breathing room for a casual dinner and maybe even a “normal” movie in the Atonement/Juno window (though it will mean getting home a bit late; the nearest theater to us is 45 miles away). I think this way, it also gives us time to talk about each of the two she hasn’t seen without having to dip right back into another film too quickly.
Michael Clayton is well worth seeing again even beyond the George factor (who’s fantastic and utterly deserves his nomination). I saw it for the 3rd time the other day and it held up beautifully. It’s well-written, well-acted, interesting and exciting. I’ve heard moans and groans (elsewhere) about its Best Picture nomination, but it deserves every nomination it received, including score (although I would have put The Assassination of Jesse James there instead). I hope it gets something at the Oscars. I’d hate to see it walk away empty-handed. I’m rooting for Tilda and the screenplay myself.
Enjoy the day!
I like the film as well and am most interested in revisiting it (especially to check out James Newton Howard’s score, which eluded my attention first time around). I think Supporting Actress is fairly wide open and Tilda could very well sneak it (though to say she’s an underdog would be putting it lightly).
It has no chance for Screenplay, though, in the full force of Juno.
However, Mr. Clooney is not exactly a good luck charm in the Oscar department: He’s been a cast member in 9 Oscar-nominated films (MC is #10) amassing 24 nominations, but only 1 Oscar (the one he won himself). That’s a 4% track record.
No Country For Old Men won the Producers Guild award. Next up, the Writers Guild awards. Here’s the remainder upcoming Guild schedule.
February 9, 2008 Writers Guild Of America (WGA)
February 11, 2008 Visual Effects Society (VES)
February 16, 2008 Art Directors Guild (ADG)
February 16, 2008 Cinema Audio Society (CAS)
February 17, 2008 American Cinema Editors (ACE, The Eddies)
February 19, 2008 Costume Designers Guild (CDG)
February 23, 2008 Motion Picture Sound Editors (MPSE, Golden Reels)
Also, the BAFTAs are on the 10th.
I meant to address this but I forgot. Just out of curiousity, where did you get those stats? It’s interesting, but it doesn’t matter to me personally, because Clooney doesn’t set out to make or star in baity Oscar movies. The fact that he’s been part of films that have gotten so many Oscar nominations is to his credit. I don’t see that the lack of wins is a strike against him. You make him sound like Oscar poison. laugh
The Good German losing score to Babel is hardly Clooney’s fault.
Syriana losing Original Screenplay to Crash is hardly Clooney’s fault.
Good Night and Good Luck being overshadowed by both Brokeback Mountain and Crash is hardly Clooney’s fault.
Voters preferring Saving Private Ryan and Shakespeare In Love over Terrence Malick’s The Thin Red Line is hardly Clooney’s fault.
I mean, what a statistic to tar him with (not that that’s what you were trying to do, but some could).
Correlation doesn’t mean causation (and it was largely meant to be a joke 
). Of course, he’s going to continue to be Oscar poison until he stops being Oscar poison (if that ever happens). I think his films are great and for my money, I’ll take an Out of Sight or O Brother over a Crash or Beautiful Mind any day. But given that 1 random shot out of 5 nominees would put you at 20%, coming in under 5% is rather abysmal (purely from a statistical point-of-view). Nothing personal against him–heck, I love Susan Sarandon, and she’s batting an equally atrocious 2-for-32 over 14 films.
There Will Be Blood and No Country For Old Men won big honors last night.
The Art Directors Guild (ADG) gave out their annual awards. They have 3 categories. The winners in each:
Period Film
THERE WILL BE BLOOD
Production Designer: Jack Fisk (trivia, he’s married to Sissy Spacek)
Fantasy Film
THE GOLDEN COMPASS
Production Designer: Dennis Gassner
Contemporary Film
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Production Designer: Jess Gonchor
That doesn’t help in trying to figure which the Oscar will go to, but it’s sure to be (well, probably) No Country For Old Men. Unless it’s There Will Be Blood. Unless they want to throw Atonement a bone.
The Cinema Audio Society (CAS) (the Sound Mixer guys) also had their awards last night. The winner was…
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
which was kindofa surprise. A lot of people thought Kevin O’Connell would win it for Transformers. O’Connell is the Sound Mixer fella who’s been nominated for 20 Oscars and hasn’t won yet. He’s nominated again this year (this is his 20th) in Sound Mixing for Transformers.
Useless info unless you’re into Sound, in which case you already know: There are two categories of Sound, Mixing and Editing. The sound mixers’ Guild is the CAS, while the sound editors have their own Guild, the Motion Picture Sound Editors (MPSE, their awards are called the Golden Reels). Those awards won’t be held until the day before the Oscars so they’re fairly useless for Oscar pools except for those running the day of the Oscars.
I don’t know how well these Guilds generally match up with Oscars. ArchiveGuy, do you know where to find that info?
Btw, don’t ask me the difference between Sound Editing and Sound Mixing. I always get them mixed up. All I know is that they are separate categories at the Oscars and people who win office Oscar pools generally have to guess right on the winners of the “smaller” categories too. (I know, they’re not small to the mixers and editors).
Oh yeah, and BAFTA (the British Film and Television Academy) handed out their awards too. I have no idea if they’ve aired on TV in the states yet, so just in case…
PICTURE
Atonement
BEST BRITISH FILM
This Is England
THE CARL FOREMAN AWARD
for Special Achievement by a British Director, Writer or Producer in their First Feature Film
Matt Greenhalgh (Writer) – Control
DIRECTOR
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country For Old Men
LEADING ACTRESS
Marion Cotillard (Edith Piaf) - La Vie en Rose
LEADING ACTOR
Daniel Day-Lewis (Daniel Plainview) - There Will Be Blood
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Tilda Swinton (Karen Crowder) - Michael Clayton
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem (Anton Chigurh) - No Country For Old Men
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Juno - Diablo Cody
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Diving Bell And The Butterfly - Ronald Harwood
MAKE UP & HAIR
La Vie en Rose – Jan Archibald/Didier Lavergne
SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
The Golden Compass Michael Fink/Bill Westenhofer/Ben Morris/Trevor Woods
SOUND
The Bourne Ultimatum Kirk Francis/Scott Millan/Dave Parker/Karen Baker Landers/Per Hallberg
EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum – Christopher Rouse
COSTUME DESIGN
La Vie en Rose – Marit Allen
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Atonement – Sarah Greenwood/Katie Spencer
CINEMATOGRAPHY
No Country For Old Men – Roger Deakins
ANIMATED FILM
Ratatouille
MUSIC
La Vie en Rose – Christopher Gunning
SHORT ANIMATION (no longlists released)
The Pearce Sisters Jo Allen/Luis Cook
SHORT FILM (no longlists released)
Dog Altogether Diarmid Scrimshaw/Paddy Considine
BEST FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE (no longlists released)
The Lives Of Others
THE ORANGE RISING STAR AWARD (voted by the public, no longlists released)
Shia LaBeouf