Anyone want to make a guess? (For those who there will be a war, that is.)
I say early February. Even though we just declared Iraq “in material breach” today, these things always take longer than I expect. I figured we’d been active in Afghanistan within 2 weeks of 9/11.
I would define the “start” as an obvious change in current aggressive behavior (thereby eliminating the “you fire anti-aircraft guns at us in the no-fly zone, we bomb your radar installations” that’s been going on). Cruise missiles, heavy bombing, US ground troops within Iraqi borders in serious quantities (not just the special forces that are prob. there already), tracer fire over Baghdad, all the stuff we remember from the last war. An Iraqi preemptive strike against US, Kuwaiti, etc., forces is game, too.
I’m going to call it as … February 7.
Yeah unfortunatly there will most likely be a war…
It has not been handled well… this is like a bad anti-politic movie.
we ask to be let in… ready to drop a bomb when they say no…
but they say yes…
we ask them to tell us every weapon they have…
they send us a report… but it is not enough…
It is sad that I don’t know who to trust anymore…
I want to believe our government… I really do… but it just seems like we are doing whatever we can to find a reason to bomb iraq.
with that said…
I would also look around late january… early feb.
I am going to guess January 16th, just like GB Senior.
And I support what ever GWB decides to do. I don’t really want to see a war, because I have friends in the military and realize how dangerous this would be for them.
But I think GWB listens to the military, and I think that their opinion ins VERY IMPORTANT.
Sunday, December 22. It’s the winter solstice, the longest night of the year. The perfect night to start bombing if you can fly and hit targets at night and your enemy can’t.
My inside sources say probably not until mid February at the earliest.
Who are these “inside sources” you ask? The civilian merchant mariners that are, even as I speak, navigating thousands of tons of containerized cargo into various ports in the Mediterranean, Persian Gulf, Gulf of Aden, The Red Sea, etc. My Dad, brother-in-law and two cousins are doing this right now.
Given the number of military flat racks and desert camo containers they’re handling (80% of their loads in some cases) it looks like there’s going to be something happening. Given the amount they still have on the docks in the US, best guess is mid Feb before anything starts.
This is from guys who won major bets back in 1990 by nailing the start of the first Gulf War almost to the day!
It still sucks. Espcially since my dad, at 62 and a total civilian, has had to go back through military sealift training and his employer has issued flak jackets, sidearms and extra ammo for the 50 cal. they’ve always kept locked up on board in case of pirates.
I’d love to say it ain’t gonna happen. But I can’t
