I will give out a yet-to-be-determined prize to the winner of this contest, I promise it will be a pretty nifty prize.
The idea is to guess the opening Box Office weekend domestic US dollar take for the following movies.
To make my life slightly easier, I must have your predictions in for all the movies by Midnight Thursday (SDMB time).
If you fail to make a guess for a movie you are out of the competition…sorry.
You can change your guess up until the cut-off time.
Your score will be the accumulation of the absolute difference for each movie (over guessing one week will not negate underguessing another week) between your guess and the actual.
I have one movie picked per week for the next ten weeks. Here they are:
[ul] X2: X-Men United - Opens May 2 Daddy Day Care - Opens May 9 The Matric Reloaded - Opens May 15 Bruce Almighty - Opens May 23 Finding Nemo - Opens May 30 2 Fast 2 Furious - Opens June 6 Hollywood Homicide - Opens June 13 Hulk - Opens June 20 Charlie Angels 2: Full Throttle - Opens June 27 Terminator 3: The Rise of the Machines - Opens July 2
[/ul]
The official source for weekend box office for the purpose of this competition will be Yahoo!
X2: X-Men United - $48 million
Daddy Day Care - $29 million
The Matric Reloaded - $51 million
Bruce Almighty - $27 million
Finding Nemo - $16 million
2 Fast 2 Furious - $31 million
Hollywood Homicide - $25 million
Hulk - $35 million
Charlie Angels 2: Full Throttle - $26 million
Terminator 3: The Rise of the Machines - $53 million
X2: X-Men United - 55 million
Daddy Day Care - 15 million
The Matric Reloaded - 60 million
Bruce Almighty - 35 million
Finding Nemo - 20 million
2 Fast 2 Furious - 30 million
Hollywood Homicide - 10 million
Hulk - 80 million
Charlie Angels 2: Full Throttle - 35 million
Terminator 3: The Rise of the Machines - 40 million
X2 72 Million
Daddy Day Care 19 million
Matrix Reloaded 67 million
Bruce Almighty 56 million* **
Finding Nemo 44 Million
2 Fast 2 Furious 26 Million
Hollywood Homicide 14 Million
Hulk 73 million
Charlie Angles 2 24 million
T3 89 Million*
*These two films opeo on holiday weekends. My estimate INCLUDES the MONDAY for Bruce Almighty and is for the entire Fourth Of July weekend for T3 July 2 - July 6.
**I will need to change my estimate for Bruce Almighty IF they move to a Wednesday opening and you include the 5 day total.
X2: X-Men United - $40m
Daddy Day Care - $24m
The Matric Reloaded - $71m
Bruce Almighty - $28m
Finding Nemo - $20m
2 Fast 2 Furious - $35
Hollywood Homicide - $17m
Hulk - $65m
Charlie Angels 2: Full Throttle - $40m
Terminator 3: The Rise of the Machines - $68m
Right now all I can say is I will use whatever is p[ublished as the weekend number for these movies at the Yahoo! site I indicated. I will wait until Wednesday to get the most final weekend numbers they publish. It appears to me that weekend means Fri-Sun only.
If you have a better source I will be happy to consider it.
Presupposing the “whole weekend” conditions stipulated above, here is my WAG:
X2: X-Men United - $66M
Daddy Day Care - $14M
The Matrix Reloaded - $72M
Bruce Almighty - $33M
Finding Nemo - $23M
2 Fast 2 Furious - $14M
Hollywood Homicide - $16M
Hulk - $59M
Charlie Angels 2: Full Throttle - $21M
Terminator 3: The Rise of the Machines - $81M
I think boxofficemojo is considered pretty reliable.
I’m not 100% sure of thier holiday weekend policy, other than they do have a “holiday weekend” total–not sure if they have a Friday-Sunday for holiday weekends.
X2: X-Men United - $54 million
Daddy Day Care - $11 million
The Matric Reloaded - $60 million
Bruce Almighty - $26 million
Finding Nemo - $19 million
2 Fast 2 Furious - $39 million
Hollywood Homicide - $21 million
Hulk - $34 million
Charlie Angels 2: Full Throttle - $37 million
Terminator 3: The Rise of the Machines - $33 million
X2- XMen United: $55 million
Daddy Day Care: $20 million
The Matrix Re-Loaded: $75 million
Bruce Almighty: $46 million
Finding Nemo: $35 million
2 Fast 2 Furious: $22 million
Hollywood Homicide: $20 million
Hulk: $60 million
Charlies Angels 2: Full Throttle: $45 million
Terminator 3: Rise Of The Machines: $68 million
X2- XMen United: $47 million
Daddy Day Care: $18 million
The Matrix Re-Loaded: $81 million*
Bruce Almighty: $37 million
Finding Nemo: $21 million
2 Fast 2 Furious: $19 million
Hollywood Homicide: $18 million
Hulk: $53 million
Charlies Angels 2: Full Throttle: $32 million
Terminator 3: Rise Of The Machines: $69 million
I am also assuming 4-day weekends as per above
Yes, I know, that’s huge for a 3-day weekend and a movie with 2+ hours running time, but I just have a gut feeling
Not always. Your OP says OPENING BOXOFFICE WEEKEND. In the case of a holiday or a holiday, Wednesday or, in the case of The Matrix Reloaded, Thursday opening the studios like to lump in the extra days. So Memorial Day Weekend grosses will usually include Monday and may include Wednesday through Monday if the film opens on Wednesday. Be sure that the gross you read is the “3-day total” if you want to only include the figures for Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
So do you want to include the Opening Weekend, or the Friday, Saturday, Sunday figure?
I may snazz it up as I get motivated to do so. I will also update it here. BTW, I have picks on that list, but the prize will go to whomever has the best score that is not me. So if you are me then you can’t win, sorry I did not mention that before.
X2: X-Men United: $66 million
Daddy Day Care - $7 million
The Matric Reloaded $75 million
Bruce Almighty - $16 million
Finding Nemo - $22 million
2 Fast 2 Furious - $26 million
Hollywood Homicide - $9 million
Hulk - $45 million
Charlie Angels 2: Full Throttle - $32 million
Terminator 3: The Rise of the Machines - $44 million
Please include me. I just saw this for the first time and swear I haven’t heard anything about projections for X2.
