The thing is, you aren’t the majority of American’s. Also, there is a difference between ‘disaster’ and ‘unmitigated disaster’. I understand that you don’t see it this way, but surly even you realize that you aren’t exactly a good representative sample of how most American’s view…well, anything.
If it’s being ‘spun’ that way, then it’s Obama et al now doing the spinning.
Sure. But I think public opinion is starting to shift away from it being an UNMITIGATED disaster, which was my point. There are some glimmers of…well, not hope, but, say, light at the end of the tunnel. Sure, it could and probably is just a train coming the other way, but it’s possible that Iraq won’t forever be the war torn hell that some were portraying it as eternally being a couple of years ago. By and large it’s dropped significantly off of America’s radar, we’ve been successful in pulling out some troops and the whole thing hasn’t gone totally tits up, they managed to have another election, etc. And you know as well as I do that if Iraq actually works out and becomes a stable and prosperous nation (at least by the yard stick of other ME countries), that it’s going to improve Bush’s image, even if it was a total disaster for us to have gone there in the first place. I don’t think it’s going to improve it very much, mind, but it would definitely have a positive impact if it actually happens, at least in the medium term. Long term (which I won’t be around for), my guess is that the late 21st century equivalent of History Channel’s Presidents show is going to have him in the bottom of the pack, regardless.
Well, the ‘no gain’ part is certainly a judgment call, and one that I doubt is universally shared, even by Iraqi’s. Ask a Kurd if there has been ‘no gain’, and you will get a different answer than if you asked, say, a committed Ba’athist…or yourself. Certainly there has been a large number of innocent people killed along with a large number of guilty ones, and, from the US’s perspective I’m failing to see much gain in all this either.
Yeah…I have serious trouble seeing Bush going the Carter route. Personally, I think he’s going to be content to generally leave the public eye, do some book deals and speaking engagements, and possibly make the occasional public foray by pairing off with Clinton (and maybe later with Obama) during some disaster or emergency or other.
-XT