Canada: GovGen dissolves Parliament, Carney drops the writ, and the election is on!

I think Joe Rogan is a fairly insightful and quite funny comedian. We probably don’t see eye to eye on politics though. His popularity as a comedian long preceded his political discussions. One might say the same of Bill Burr or Theo Von.

FWIW, today’s updated polls for the CBC gives the Libs a 74% chance of winning, and the Economist shows Carney ahead 39-37% and with more seats (35-44 Liberal vs. 32-41 Conservative)

Remember Clinton in 2015 2016. She had similar numbers.

I am amazed that after the shit show Canadians can see happening in the US under Trump they want any part of that but I guess they have their MAGA equivalent and people who want zero taxes and no immigrants too.

Different political systems. A better question: what kind of numbers did the Democratic party as a whole have, separate from Hillary Clinton? Especially when you have two parties in the US; while we have (right now) five parties represented in Parliament. It’s not an either/or situation, in our case.

In Canada, very few people actually get to directly vote for a prime ministerial candidate. Only those in his or her riding do, owing to our parliamentary system, which would only be about 100,000, give or take; and there’s no way one candidate would get all of those. In other words, while Americans could vote directly for Hillary Clinton or Joe Biden or George W. Bush or Donald Trump, we cannot vote directly for our Prime Minister, unless we live in the riding where PP or Carney or Singh, etc., is running.

Plus, there’s a long gap between 2015 and 2016

I meant 2016. Typo. Sorry.

I’ve never voted directly for a pm candidate. The closest was a couple of elections ago, when Andrew Scheer was the Tory candidate in a riding next to mine. ( He won his seat but Trudeau won the general.)

Last provincial election, I was in the riding where the leader of the opposition was the candidate. That’s the only time that’s ever happened in all my years of voting. (She won her seat but stayed leader of the opposition.)

Me neither. The closest I’ve come was when I was living in Calgary and Stephen Harper was running. But not in my riding.

Of course, because a 74% chance of winning isn’t a 100% chance of winning. But compared to where the numbers were in January, it’s vastly more likely.

338 says my riding is Liberal-leaning (we’re NDP now). I’m inclined to vote NDP but am not sure whether I should shift to the Liberals for a more strategic vote, because it’s just possible for a conservative to take the seat, and I definitely don’t want to vote in a way that favours a Poillièvre government.

IMHO, if PP wins, Trump will claim, against all evidence, that his Canada policy is a success. He then will put more effort into harming Panama, Greenland, and Mexico, and less into hurting Canada.

Carney would resist the most because he would face greater U.S. tariffs that he would need to resist.

Poking the bear may be a matter of national honor for Canada, but it will not do any economic good. Knowing that, whomever wins, they are not going to be as strong in their statements against Trump as they were running for office.

I’m not telling anyone whom to vote for!

Is this legal?

Full title: Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is facing criticism over comments made earlier in March during an interview with an American right-wing news outlet.

Smith recently told syndicated news and commentary website Breitbart that she has asked the Donald Trump administration to put tariffs on pause until after Canada’s federal election, because the trade war is benefiting the Liberals in the polls.

Speaking to Matthew Boyle from Breitbart on March 8, Smith commented that she believes the tariffs imposed by the U.S. are hurting Conservative Party of Canada Leader Pierre Poilievre’s chances of being elected prime minister.

I don’t know of any statute that would prevent a sitting premier from asking the head of state of a foreign hostile nation to intervene in a federal election. (I could be wrong, though.)

What it says about her intellect, her fidelity to Canada, and her willingness to put party ahead of country are other things.

I’m not addressing this directly, but it does raise a question I’ve had: how much will Trump and his lackeys try to influence our election? Trump can do very little, except endorse candidates, but I’m unsure whether he, as a foreigner, can even do that. But his respect for law is so little, that I’m sure that he’ll ignore any prohibition anyway.

But Musk, being a Canadian (among other citizenships) can try to use his money to put behind candidates. There are limits as to how much, as I understand things, but even if the best he can do under the law is $1500 to support the Tory candidate in Upper Muskoka Lakes (fictional riding), I’m sure he’d do it.

Will we see any American attempts at influencing our election?

There are monetary limits to how much he can legally donate to the CPC. However, Musk owns and controls his own social media platform. You cannot attach a dollar amount to that.

His ability to influence and effect our population through shitter is, in reality, only limited by his will power.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/alberta-premier-smith-u-s-canada-election-interference-breitbart-1.7491318

“There’s probably still always going to be areas that are skirmishes, or disputes, about particular industries when it comes to the border. But I would say, on balance, the perspective that Pierre would bring, would be very much in sync with the new direction in America,” - Danielle Smith

I can’t imagine a quote better designed to turn Canadians away from the CPC at this point in time. Carney and the Liberals can focus of positives like infrastructure projects, lowered interprovincial trade barriers, and new trading partnerships and let the Conservatives highlight their own negatives.

NDP leader Jagmeet Singh thanks everyone for scheduling an election after February 19. This allows him to collect a pension - even if he doesn’t run or runs and loses in the upcoming vote. You need 6 years of service as as an MP to qualify. (average pension is $70k a year).

Why do people keep focusing on this? You know who else has earned an MP pension? Any MP that has served 6 years, including Poilievre.

The Tories literally set that “Singh is only in it for the pension” attack on repeat for months because he wouldn’t tear down the Liberal government. Wildly unfair to Singh to blame him for collecting a pension by serving as MP (and coming from PP a LIFELONG politician). Such unfairness is politics.

Also viciously attacking Singh did PP no favour, as now Singh can’t effectively attack Carney’s Liberals and eat their support away from the left.

A weak NDP equals a strong LPC. A strong LPC equals an out-of-job PP.

Harper realised that. He thought that having the Liberals and the NDP weakened the Tories, because voters could choose between a centre-left party and a left party, but in the end those two parties would usually work together in the Commons. He wanted to destroy the Liberals, creating a duopoly where voters could only choose between left and right.

He came very close in 2011, where the Liberals were reduced to third party and pundits predicted they were done.

Trudeau brought the Liberals back from the near-dead in 2015, which was a major accomplishment.

The MOE is about the same.