Satelliet photos show that Chinese forces are now building landing strips and bases on one of the islands. this archipelago lies over 1000 miles off shore from china-is this action legal? Suppose it is not-who gets to evict them?
Does anyone already live there? Are they recognized as the territory of any other nation? If the answer to both questions is “no”, then there’s absolutely nothing wrong with what China is doing. If the answer to either is “yes”, then it depends on whether they have permission from the owners.
No one lives there (outside of some soldiers and fishermen), as far as I can tell. But the area is in dispute and claimed by several countries, so China doing this is just ratcheting up the tension. Here’s a wiki article on the islands that also touches on the disputes:
The way I understand it, the Philippines, China and Vietnam all claim the Spratlys, but while Vietnam has no real permanent presence, and the Philippines have their troops stationed in some ghastly rusting hulk, the Chinese are flexing their economic muscles and actually building on the islands, apparently under the two theories that possession is 9/10 of the law, and “who’s going to stop us?”.
The internationally recognized principal of Pedicabo ego vos habeamus maioribus fistulis supports the PRC claim.
Yes, I did use Google Translate
I tried to translate dibs but got no results.
Ultima ratio regum, huh?
Yes good question. just who is going to evict them ?
For those uninitiated into the controversy, this Nine-dash line - Wikipedia is a decent place to start.
In a nutshell the mainland Chinese government after WWII asserted that it owned all the waters and islands in southeast asia almost up to the shores of all the adjacent countries. When Mao took over he reiterated the claim, as have all subsequent PRC governments.
This is a big issue and will be a world-affecting problem for the next hundred years.
The problem the Chinese face is that from an impartial standpoint they probably have the weakest claim to the Spratley Islands. (Although they have the advantage that they are far more powerful than any of the other claimants.) If China pushed the issue right now, the situation might be resolved by an arbitration through some agency like the UN - and there’s a good chance China would lose such an arbitration based on the current facts.
So I would speculate that this is a Chinese attempt to improve their claim by establishing “settlements”. Once they’ve built up a strong enough claim, they will seek international arbitration to get official title.
Exactly. They’re creating “facts on the ground” in the argot. Once they’ve been there for a few years they make a formal application through the UN & treaty processes.
Meantime the opportunity for skirmishes and impatient hotheads on both sides goes nowhere but up. Other countries also realize that preventing “facts on the ground” is their most urgent need.
Ummmm … Non potest esse nisi unum, Mcleod
There is no “international law” because these cases are renegotiated every single time one happens. The only predictable regime of legal enforcement between countries is in very mundane areas such as passport reciprocity and mail delivery across borders. When it comes to territorial disputes, human rights violations, and general compliance with treaties, it’s total fiction to claim that anything but case-specific resolutions based on power politics reigns.
Yup. And its only going to get worse. China is newly prosperous. Newly prosperous nations have a large middle class. That tends to reduce conflict; internal conflict. However, the middle classes are the most reliably blood thirsty part of the populace for foreign adventures. Giving Johnny Foreigner a damn good thrashing goes down well at home.
China is in short like the US in the McKinley era.
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Meantime the opportunity for skirmishes and impatient hotheads on both sides goes nowhere but up. Other countries also realize that preventing “facts on the ground” is their most urgent need.
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Any conflict is going to be in Chinas favour, there is really no regional power that can stop them and the US is not going to war over a few sparse islands.
I wouldn’t go quite that far. Especially not when speaking of disputes between small countries overshadowed by larger neighbors.
In this specific case where one of the contestants is China I agree with you. This one will be settled by power politics. One hopes the Obama administration’s much criticized “pivot to Asia” doesn’t turn out to be far too little far too late.