***Let’s not get complacent, please.
Six points is a certain win if the polls are reliable. But not if there are two million Americans too ashamed to say “Trump” to a pollster but happy to pull that lever spitefully when alone in the polling booth.
You mean like his other daughter, Tiffany?
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It’s about time someone took on this economic meme the liberal opinion pundits have been trotting out to make themselves feel better. It’s like this is their way of suppressing a Tourette’s outburst of calling Trump supporters fruit flies.
If you ever heard Trump supporters crying the economically left behind meme (which you don’t), then someone should be pointing out to them that their beloved Constitution doesn’t guarantee them a lifetime job of scraping rocks off of cave walls.
I have no idea why you wouldn’t expect this to work in the other direction, as in people who come to their senses in the booth and go “Do I really want to punch the ticket of this raving madman?”
Trump supporters are not in any way shape or form ashamed of supporting Trump, that would imply admitting there is something wrong with that. This idea that there are millions of Trump supporters too afraid to admit it to completely anonymous pollsters is simply ridiculous. If anything the polls are over estimating his support as his most ardent supporters are not regular voters, and he has zero ground game compared to Hillary’s state of the art campaign.
That phrase usually refers to killing a person. Still might apply.
Your following paragraphs (‘relatively sane’, etc, IOW the left is now conclusively morally superior and no longer has to win arguments on policy merits, an enviable position…assuming everyone agreed 
) shows one reason that would never happen as part of an election. It’s also pretty far in the weeds from most right leaning voters’ POV. It’s conceivable a deal something like that could be negotiated among elected politicians, not saying now but hypothetically in the future.
Anyway it’s valid for liberals to want their candidate to name liberal judges, and valid for conservatives to not want that but rather somebody who they think it’s more likely would name conservative judges (even if that candidate isn’t a conservative which Trump isn’t, and has other serious problems). Nobody is being paranoid or crazy to resist liberal/conservative judges, and the unwritten rule against that which prevailed at one time was repealed in the Bork battle a long time ago now.
adaher already dodged my offer of a bet (in the Portman-Strickland U.S. Senate race thread, about Trump carrying Ohio), so I doubt he’ll take yours.
Speaking of which, the Trump campaign is now squabbling with the state GOP chair in must-win Ohio: Donald Trump campaign denounces, severs ties with Ohio Republican Party Chairman Matt Borges - cleveland.com
Yeah I saw that, echoing his meltdown hissyfit in Wisconsin.
And a large portion of his supporters would support him doing it or at least make excuses for him.
You forgot one. What about undeniable proof that Trump is in 100’s of millions of debt to Russian ogliarchs? Because I believe this one is rather more likely than yours and if someone has been digging now is the time they’ll make it live.
To be honest™, I’m not saying, but many people are saying™, his use of the N Word, could certainly galvanize higher turnout for Hillary. I’m not saying, but many, many people are saying™ it, believe me™.
Clinton has a better chance of taking Texas than Trump has of taking Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Wisconsin, or Colorado - which in recent years have been considered swing states.
We need it on tape.
Or in an email.:eek:
No Twitter?
To be fair, if he loses that it’s because he already planted the daisies.
It’s still 13 points more Trumpward than the national average after all. (538 PollsOnly numbers.)
Interesting how 538’s greater uncertainty plays out. It means that compared to the other prediction sites (aggregators and betting markets both) he’s still the lowest odds of a Clinton win but the others also rank Texas as an even greater longshot - The Upshot at only a 3% chance and that’s the most generous of the other sites.
She can’t have a better chance of taking Texas because she has a 0% chance of taking Texas.
It kinda is, actually. Only, the fix isn’t in against Trump specifically, but against the GOP as a group.
See, several years ago, I issued a decree that the Republican Party is forever forbidden from putting another of their candidates into the Oval Office.
I have actually cited your declaration in meatspace discussions.
Well, finally an explanation for this election that makes sense. It was Kayla’s Dad all along!
I knew it; thanks, man!
Now, what other decrees have you issued? Was that yours, the one about the illegality of adjacent urinals? Can we get one on cover songs, so they’re legally required to be different and better than the original?