Come one, come all: Gun Control revisited, revisited

The Guardian article cites a government report. I don’t even know where to begin searching for such a report, but it would appear that the claims in the article are certainly verifiable, and thus you should be able to formulate an attack on the statistics themselves rather than the source.

As explained earlier, crime rates in general are higher in the U.S. than they are in Britain, and guns are emphatically not the reason for the difference. From here we’ll have to branch out into sociology, which I don’t really want to do, but if you want to lead the way, that’s fine by me…

You might want to sit down for this: most of what you said above is also true in America, with the exception of the “guns are rare” part. Random shootings, while sensational and headline-making, are rare (as I noted earlier, the number of people killed in school shootings is less than half the number killed by lightning strikes, but the shootings sell more papers).

One of the most effective crime-fighting tactics in recent years over here is Project Exile, a program that mandates jail time for anyone convicted of using a firearm in a crime (different states have different sentences, but what I’ve heard ranges from 5-10 years minimum). Project Exile is hard on criminals, it lowers the crime rate, and it does not impact law-abiding gun owners in the least. The program thus has the support of the NRA.

What we DON’T see much over here are daring armed criminals bursting into courtrooms and making off with the defendant. On your side of the pond, criminals can be bolder, because they know there’s precious little chance of anyone shooting back.

Source?

Risk of what? What do I, the criminal, care whether the residents of the home I’m burgling are home or not? An unarmed elderly person is no match for me.

I’d love to see some statistics from you, so that I can verify that “99%” figure.

There were two reasons I made that remark: the first was to correct you, because there are far more than just two possible “have-don’t have” gun models. The second was to prod you off your high-horse. Couch your remarks behind all the “oh, our system isn’t perfect either” comments you like, but the entire post read as a rather snotty “you should be more like us” essay. I rather resent that.

Setting aside for now the offensive “our system is better than yours” remarks, I must say I’m curious: is it the gun you fear, or the criminal?

Sure. Is such a society worth what we’d have to give up? Most Americans seem to be saying “no”.

Let us recall one of Aesop’s fables:

Schaffer’s “demonstration” would only be applicable to Kellermann’s multivariate analysis if career criminals and the like were no more likely to have an arrest history than the average person. More to the point, Schaffer mentions as risk factors “drug dealing, violent criminal events, violently abusive family relationships” and correctly observes that these factors were not controlled by matching. What he fails to mention is that Kellermann controlled for those factors in a multivariate analysis. Schaffer’s critique manages to give the reader the misleading impression that Kellermann just did a bivariate analysis and assumed that he could control for any confounds by matching.

I bet that if a pro-control pulled a similar stunt to Schaffer, you would be screaming about it.

It does not suggest that to you at all. You had already made up your mind about Kellermann before you read his study.

Owning a gun does not make it more likely that someone will be stabbed to death. Read Kellermann’s study and pay careful to attention to table 5. That table shows that the risk factor for non-firearm homicide was 1.2, which was not significantly different from 1.

Max and Spoofe and others:

You’re one and all doing a great job, one that I abdicated here on this message board a long time ago (despite a couple of relapses).

I say this: you can all find better ways of combatting the gun-control lobby than gassing about it here with those who have their minds already made up and have the prefabricated junk science (and, apparently, scientist) to prove it.

Vote. Join a gun club. Introduce friends and family to the fun of firearms sports and competition. Correspond regularly with your legislators. Print up pamphlets and hit the bricks.

Move to another state (like, maybe Texas?) that favors law-abiding citizens with their Constitutionally protected rights and punishes the criminal instead.

The time, energy and intellect devoted to this single thread by you pro-gun folks is amazing and commendable.

And, IMHO, sorely misdirected.

Wise up. Opt out of this circular and unfulfilling debate and get involved, IRL, with the real deal.

Crimson said

All things being otherwise equal, people holding guns are more dangerous than people not holding them.
Thats so my 5’3"wife can point it at a 6’3"robber and stop him from continuing his evil ways…Duh


If guns don’t kill people, then why do you need them to defend yourself, again?

This makes as much sense as your marzedotes quote.

The militia will always side with the militia. Duh. Unless you’d like to clarify your question? I imagine that you’re trying to say “Would the militia side with the people or the government?” or something to that effect, but I won’t put words in your mouth.

By the way, I wonder how you think you can openly ignore another poster when he/she poses a question you cannot answer, and then demand that someone else answer you. Not exactly mature, my word-twisting friend.

Hey, calm down, Militant Boy. You seem to be blowing steam at the slightest provocation. I see no reason, even though you continuously act completely hostile to everyone in this thread, why I shouldn’t try to act with a bit of light-heartedness.

I poked fun at someone. Big effin’ deal. If you’ll go back and read (or re-read) the thread, you’ll find that your friend has a tendency to point to insignificant inconsistencies in another’s post, and use that to claim that the more-significant (and unrelated) aspects of his posts are inaccurate.

The reason I’ve refrained from participating much in this thread is because Mr. Dufuz has shown he doesn’t want to debate. He wants to rant and rave. He points and giggles whenever he thinks he’s right, and he plugs his ears and hides in the corner whenever he’s proven wrong. If he wants to debate, I would suggest he grow up a little. After all, we have a word for people who seek only to stir up reaction.

You, on the other hand, Mr. Lambert, have proven interesting and willing to actually interact with others. To that end…

Keep in mind that the more variables that are added to an analysis, the odds of one or more of the variables not matching up increases. The law of averages would dictate that a more complex system would be more subject to flaws than a simpler system.

As did you. Factors such as “living alone” and “renting” create a high risk factor for unknown reasons, yet when it comes to guns, the reason is known? How does that happen? Wouldn’t it be more likely that, among the several factors with unknown causes, the causes related to owning a gun are also unknown?

I believe it was Mr. Dufuz who stated several times that this relation merits further study. It definitely does. And until those further studies are made, you cannot make any accurate conclusions about what, exactly, makes owning a gun more dangerous.

So what accounted for the other 211 non-firearm deaths? Heart attacks? Mauled by wild dogs? Spontaneous combustion?

Why is owning a gun so dangerous if less than half of the deaths “caused” by owning a gun didn’t involve a gun?

(Note: The above was derived from analysis of previous posts or from memory… as my 'Net connection is being a bitch right now and won’t open any of the above links. I’ll see if things even out in a few hours and get back to y’all then. Damn 28.8 connection!)

Untrue.

Yes, as Kellermann notes in the paper, the guns-homicide link could be caused by reverse causation, (people at greater risk of homicide buy guns for protection, but get murdered anyway) or by a third factor (people psychologically predisposed towards violence are more likely to want guns and to murder).

However, when you look more closely at the results, they suggest these alternatives are unlikely. For example, if we had the reverse causation thing, gun owners would be more likely to be murdered by means other than firearms than non-gun owners, but that is not what was observed – all the extra risk of homicide faced by gun owners was for firearm homicide only.

You seem severly confused. The 211 non-firearm deaths comprised 111 by knife, 49 blunt instrument, 27 strangulation or suffocation, 10 burns, smoke or scalding and 14 other.

Again, gun ownership was not associated with an increased risk of non-gun homicide.

Wow, that’s a pathetic non-answer.

You do know what an insurrection is, don’t you Steve?

What does the word “insurrection” mean? What, then, definitionally, are the two sides in an insurrection? Which side did Alexander Hamilton envision the militia taking in the average insurrection? Think Civil War.

Oh, I wasn’t demanding you answer me, I was just pointing out in advance what a failure to answer me would mean to your side as you promote your case. Tell us, what the militias were, what relationships were established between state and federal governments, and the militias, and then tell us how Hamilton thought the militias would be used.

As for Justwanno, I explained my policy. I do not participate in extended discussions with people who abuse the ordinary rules of sentence construction. It’s just not worth my time to read punctuationless, run on sentences that I might answer questions I’ve already covered. That doesn’t apply to you and me, we know where the commas go.

There was some whining about my sources of information, as though some how it wasn’t fair if another person whose done his homework participated.

Ah. the old “I was Joking! Don’t you people know a joke when you hear it?” defense. Advanced perhaps most famously by one Dr. Frederick Frankenstein in a Mel Brooks movie, if I recall correctly.

How funny was this supposed to be?

I suppose there are clever ways to insinuate I’m untrustworthy that might fall under the heading of “joke,” sure. Drain certainly has a whole list of insights into what a rotten person I am, okay. How funny is it to just say so-and-so is untrustworthy? Oh, well…

Well, I think you made insinuations of dishonesty.

Excuse me?

If JC is going to make arguments from historical examples, it helps when he gets his names and dates and places right. If you say something like “we must do X, because Hitler was elected,” but then it turns out Hitler wasn’t elected, we don’t have to do X, at least not out of a free not doing so will lead to the election of Hitler.

Made hash of every single idea I’ve brought up. Don’t go whining to the ref.

An example of me being proven wrong here is what?
You, on the other hand, Mr. Lambert, have proven interesting and willing to actually interact with others. To that end…

You realize you just said something like “a system that compares many variables is less accurate than a sytem that compares one.”

Do you think we could get a good idea of how dominant a given basketball player is to the other players his age? or, would you want to throw in FT%, PPG, FG%, Assists, assists to turn overs, rebounds, blocks, steals, assigning some appropriate statistical weight to each factor?

If a study shows that other things are stronger risk factors in cancer than smoking, does that mean smoking doesn’t really cause cancer?

In any case, no protective benefit from owning a gun is seen.

however, if owning a gun is more dangerous, for unknown reasons, then owning a gun is less safe than not owning one, for unknown reasons, and owning a gun is not more safe, for unknown reasons.

It’s a shame the gun ownership debate gets so convoluted, hung up on statistics, interpretations of statistics, “home defense”, “acceptable losses” of only 8000 people a year or whatever the number is.
All this complication stems from a desire to avoid the simple facts:

  • Guns are deadly weapons, designed to kill.
  • The world would be better off without them. They do not make mankind’s lot better in any way.
  • There are no “acceptable losses” - ask the families.
  • Regular citizens who want guns want them because they like them.
  • Gun makers make money.
  • Lobbyists help protect gun makers’ business interests.

So it comes down to the same thing everything in America does, cash.

Okay, let’s use the analogy of cars…

Earlier in this thread was the quote that cars kill 42,000 each year. So, an automobile is roughly 5 times more deadly if we are given to presume 8000 gun deaths.

So cars have other uses. But, what about a Lamborghini, where first gear takes you to 50-60mph. Just to get the car into 2nd gear requires you to be speeding on almost every urban road in the U.S. (Freeways and Montana notwithstanding). So, what then is the purpose of such a car?

If speeding in an urban area is one of the contributing factors in auto deaths and accidents, and such a car is made for going in excess of 100mph, shouldn’t such a car be banned? Or does the idea that such a machine of death being outlawed make you nervous?

Well, okay, Lamborghini deaths are at an all-time low. I understand that. But so are the deaths from my particular Colt 45: zero.

And nowhere in the Bill of Rights is the right to own transportation.

The very idea that you think you can tell another person that they may or may not own something because such ownership makes you _____(fill in an appropriate emotion), makes me nervous.

Sorry Wrath, you didn’t get it. This is how it gets convoluted and distracted. We are talking about guns. Not cars or any other analogy. Not car control or fish control or banana control.

Back to the real topic. Guns.
I didn’t say I wanted to prevent ownership, although that would be great in an ideal world. I do wish that there was more honesty on the pro-gun side. You buy 'em because you like 'em, and a piece of paper someplace says you can. Simple.
Gun makers make lots of cash out of selling them to both the good guys and the bad guys, and have no responsibility for their use. Guns proliferate, deaths happen, it’s bad all round, except for the manufacturers, who profit no matter what.

Sorry to post twice in a row!

So if people telling people what to own is bad, I wish to lift all restrictions and make plutonium available on the open market. Any objection to that? :slight_smile:

Since when do you, or anyone, think that you can get involved in the thought process as to why a law-abiding citizen would wish to purchase or own anything?

The reasons for owning anything belong with the owner; it is proprietary information that s/he may wish to share, but such information provides nothing to this debate.

I dare say that it is none of your business even if the reason for buying something is to commit a crime; unless and until an individual commits a crime, s/he is not a criminal. When s/he commits a crime, punish to the fullest extent, please.

Insist on your restrictions, be they what they may, but they will not deter a criminal from being a criminal if their mind is made up, nor will they prevent nor encourage a law-abider to become a criminal.

Deep Thought:

But you are saying in reverse the exact thing that many pro-gun people say. How does this sound to you?

You support gun control simply because you don’t like guns. There is no evidence that the existence of guns implies more deaths; guns can be beneficial and sometimes save lives (obviously this is some of what is being argued on this thread). You simply would like no one to have a gun because you don’t have one.

Many people find the second sentence of that paragraph very debatable. You trying to simplify the argument by just stating your opinion as fact doesn’t change that.

And so what if people enjoy their guns? It can be a very fun hobby, and encompasses many activities, including hunting, sport shooting, collecting, crafting, etc. It sure is one reason people don’t want to lose their guns, but that is not good enough for you, so we argue the other benefits as well.

PeeQueue

PeeQueue, please go back and read my previous postings.

Wrath, I want my plutonium. I’m law-abiding. How dare you try and stop me with petty legislation. You are infringing my personal freedom to own anything I want. I enjoy plutonium and wnat to collect a lot of it for my own pleasure. Do you wish to prevent that?

Awww Come on Crimsom

Any one following this thread knows that I am just trying to get you to clarify your position with a simple yes or no answer.
You wouldn’t want people to think you are just a bag of wind would you?
What could be so hard about answering a yes or no answer.
Pleese Pleese Oh pretty pleese
PS
Answer with a yes answer or a no answer.

Deep thought,

I’m sure you can legally get your hands on some plutonium. But you’d have to prove you could handle safely because it’s mere passive existence in the environment is a health risk to a large radius of exposed people, and this is where and why the government needs to step in. You might as well say you wish to have some of that good ol’ ebola virus so you can tinker with it in your chemistry set.

Common sense is always the litmus test, don’t you think? Try not to be a troll with silliness.

Wrath, I’m bringing in “silliness” because I can’t get a straight answer from you pro-gun folks about why you like them so much. The car/gun analogy is “silly” to me.

You don’t understand the nature of plutonium. Sure, certification is a wonderful thing - prove to me you’re trained to handle a gun safely! I guess I just have to trust you to be able to handle such a dangerous piece of equipment, and not decimate your neighborhood with it…

Common sense tells me that having Joe Average keep lethal weapons around his house is an avoidable risk to all the people around him, and is therefore dumb. Your version of common sense is different. So, common sense is not “common” at all, it’s just an opinion.

Back to my previous point - the gun makers have done a beautiful job of providing both “the problem” and “the solution”, and getting rich from it.

Right on. I see guns saving people every day, especially in hospitals. Maybe if we had more guns, more people would be saved.
In the case of Sanity v PeQueue, the prosecution rests. He consider be working for the gun control side of the debate, not the other side.

But you do have a straight answer, DT. I have my Colt for protection, and that’s it. I own it for no other reason. And the gun collector - he likes them for what they are. And the hobbyist, likewaise. Does this knowledge help you in any way? There’s no one single reason for a group of people desiring ownership of a thing, is there?

But my reasons for ownership are my business. And it’s guaranteed in the 2nd amendment.

And yes, you will have to trust that I will not strife the neighborhood with it, just like you have to trust the other driver not to blow the red light and slam into your car.

And gun makers profit like anyone else, by filling a need in the marketplace and providing goods to a customer with money. If you wish to believe that the need shouldn’t be there, that it’s imagined or people have no business wanting or owning such a thing, then there’s no amount of evidence to the contrary that will pursuade you.