—My answer is the same as the first time, things I can’t or don’t know is simply things I can’t check or eliminate.—
Then how can you claim to know that your particular interpretation, and no other, is the correct one?
—My ability is brittle, it comes and goes, sometimes I can do wonders and sometimes not.—
This alone is a mindset crucial to effective cold reading (in this case, of yourself). Discounting or explaining away misses makes the hits stand out more clearly, pulled from their context of probability.
—I am called Yoda were I work and when one of the women get pregnate they ask me what the sex of the baby will be, I have missed one time in about 20 tries.—
Again, regardless of whether you can tell better than chance, how do you know that your ability to determine sex is psychic? What if it is some sort of unknown pheremonal reaction that you are sensitive to?
—A skeptic once laughed at me and pulled a coin out of his pocket and asked me to to call the flip. After 7 straight accurate calls he pocketed his coin and walked off. Now could I repeat this, who knows, maybe, maybe not.—
How do you know he didn’t walk off, snickering, having tested out his coin trick on you? Controling a called coin is actually one of the easier magic tricks.
But more importantly, runs of 7 accurate calls are not impossible. As we noted in the discussion of PETWHACs before, they are, in fact, almost inevitable given enough people out there calling coins. That is, given that a certain number of people in the world who have called coins repeatedly, it would be MORE unlikely if no one ever called 7 in a row, or even 10 in a row, then if someone had. The event might seem amazing because it happened to you: but that’s beside the point: it had to happen to SOMEONE, and it happened to be you.
Indeed we get 256 people together and had them call coin tosses, which each winner moving on to the next round, by the end it would be inevitable that the remaining person would have called the coin correctly 8 times in a row. Inevitable… but how would that winner feel, even if they DID understand the math? Like some special power had been at work with them? It’s a hard feeling to shake.