Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) Thread - 2022 Breaking News

I’m sure this won’t cause any controversy:

There really should be a more general legislative framework to make “medical emancipation” a straightforward process for any minor who wishes to receive any well established standard treatment against their parents’ wishes. And, of course, to protect the healthcare provider in that situation.

Yes, this. It’s the percent of positive tests among all tests. It’s not a precise indicator, by any means, just a rough score.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/07/health/coronavirus-positivity-rate-explainer/index.html

Lately, a lot of health and elected officials have been using one term an awful lot: positivity rate.

That’s the percentage of people who test positive for the virus of those overall who have been tested. So, as more and more people are being tested, the focus is shifting to the positivity rate – how many of those tested are actually infected.

To give you an idea of why that number means anything at all, considering how rough it is, these were the Texas-wide numbers in June 2021:

Meanwhile, the percentage of Texans testing positive for COVID-19 was 3.9% as of Wednesday. Texas’ positivity rate has remained below 5% since May 3.
Source

To go from 4-ish% to 40-ish% in about seven months is a big increase.

Especially when (presumably) more people are now being tested. You’d think if anything this statistic would tend to be distorted downwards as testing becomes more easily and cheaply available, and more people are routinely testing even without symptoms.

I’m not seeing that on the 91divoc site (which says it uses Johns Hopkins data.) It shows a sharp dip 3 days ago in MA and NH 7-day average new case count, which immediately bounced back up – I assume that’s a holiday weekend artifact. It looks to me like most of New England peaked a little more than a week ago.

Odd, then, because if you look at the Johns Hopkins site plots all those states are clearly going back up again, while New York New Jersey, etc. are not.

As I posted up tread models show NH still 2-3 weeks away from peaking so…

NH is bouncing around, and that’s possible, although I bet that model is wrong. I bet NH just peaked and will head down. VT is also too unstable to pick a trend. But CT, MA, and RI sure look like they are going down to me, and ME hasn’t really gone up, it’s flat and fairly low. You could maybe read a little bump in it ending 3 days ago.

346,786,449 total cases
5,603,040 dead
276,569,998 recovered

In the US:

71,394,579 total cases
887,643 dead
44,191,512 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

Omicron is out and about in New Zealand. We were tracking along comfortably with relatively low case numbers but I expect these will jump up over the coming weeks. Restrictions are increasing though it is nothing like the previous lockdowns. We have the advantage of seeing how it has tracked in other countries and our vaccination rates are pretty good but our health system will struggle. Our 7 day rolling average had been sitting around 60 for a month with many of the cases being at the border.

What’s your vaccination (and booster) rates like these days?

I know NZ was hoping to hold off until the vax rates were really high… and if you’ve been able to do this, you might get away with Omicron getting out and about.

349,823,678 total cases
5,610,136 dead
278,142,285 recovered

In the US:

71,728,557 total cases
888,623 dead
44,329,200 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

Fully vaccinated are at 77% of total population and 19% boosted. That’s of the total population, not the eligible population. Over fives have just been approved for vaccinations so that will improve the rate over the next few months. A key point is that the general population only became eligible for vaccinations mid 2021 and so we can expect a big bunch of people being boosted this month and next month.

Are you in the US? Most American adults were eligible and able to get vaccinated by last May, and were eligible to be boosted in December.

Would that we had those numbers in the US…

Or even in Arkansas:

The state Department of Health said COVID-19 hospitalizations increased by one to 1,659. It’s the fifth day in a row the state has set a new record for hospitalizations.

According to health department data, 54% of Arkansas residents age 5 and older are fully vaccinated against COVID-19, and 504,538 have received a booster dose, the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette reported.

Here’s a pleasing oddity from the UK. What, with all the stories I’ve seen from the US about nurses quitting (and similar stories over here as well) how about a story of people queuing up to get into the profession?

The work of NHS nurses during the Covid-19 pandemic has inspired record numbers of students to apply to join the profession, a report has found.

Universities admissions service UCAS, based in Cheltenham, said the number of 18-year-olds choosing to study nursing has increased by 38% since 2019.

More than two-thirds of applicants in 2021 said that the pandemic had inspired them to become a nurse.

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No. New Zealand.

351,995,643 total cases
5,614,512 dead
279,758,009 recovered

In the US:

71,925,931 total cases
889,197 dead
44,365,669 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

On the Johns Hopkins site, almost all the country is blue, meaning that the rate of new cases is receding. But there are still some new record high daily reported cases (7-day average) for the weekend, January 22 and 23:

Maine – 1101 Jan 22
Michigan – 28034 Jan 22
West Virginia — 5636 Jan 23
Tennessee – 22526 Jan 22
Minnesota – 13569 Jan 22
Arkansas – 10130 Jan 22
South Dakota – 2704 Jan 22
Kansas – 11851 Jan 22
Texas – 65518 Jan 23

Nine states. We’re down from our recent high number of states , but not down to the seven we had several days last week. There were a lot of state with record highs on Friday, too.

The US as a whole is down to 504062, which is over 300,000 less than its recent peak, and a clear decreasing trend.