OK, there are two issues here.
First is the “gene drive”. Second is what the gene drive is doing in this situation.
Gene drive isn’t a new concept. It’s been around as an idea since at least the 1940’s. It has gone through many iterations since that time (hybrid sterility, chromosomal translocations, transposable elements, homing endonucleases, and now CRISPR).
There is nothing special about CRISPR in concept; it’s uniqueness comes from execution. EVERYTHING we can do with CRISPR we were already able to do without it. CRISPR just makes it easier and faster.
All CRISPR does is allow one to make a cut in a DNA sequence at a specific sequence. When this happens, the cells DNA repair mechanism repairs the cut by one of 2 ways.
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Jam the cut ends back together in a process known as “non-homologous end joining (NHEJ). NHEJ is error prone and tends to result in a few nucleotides being added or deleted, often resulting in a premature stop codon in the sequence and a non-functional gene. This is what we do when we use CRISPR to “knock out” a gene.
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If a piece of DNA is provided containing a sequence that you want to insert flanked by sequences matching either end of the cut site (the “repair template”, instead of repairing the cut by NHEJ, the cut is repaired by splicing the repair template into the break. This is called “homology-directed repair “ (HDR). This is how we make specific changes to a DNA sequence at a specific site.
HDR is the key to CRISPR gene drive. In a diploid organism (that has chromosomes in pairs) if one chromosome is cut, the homologous sequence on the other chromosome can act as the repair template. If a CRISPR module is placed onto one chromosome and targets a site to cut on the other chromosome in the same place (i.e. it is inserted into its own cut site) it will cut the other chromosome, and when HDR repairs the cut, the CRISPR sequence will be copied onto the other chromosome. In this way, organisms that are heterozygous for the CRISPR sequence become homozygotes, and instead of transmitting the CRISPR sequence to 50% of their offspring, they will transmit it to 100% (assuming that the copying [or “homing”] efficiency is 100%). Each of the offspring will be heterozygous, become homozygous, and transmit to 100% of THEIR offspring. That’s your Gene Drive.
Again, this isn’t new. There is a naturally occurring gene called a Homing Endonuclease Gene (or “HEG”) that spread through populations by exactly this mechanism. It exists naturally in slime mold but has been artificially transferred to mosquitoes by this same laboratory group. This was done over ten years ago. The problem with HEGs as gene drive candidates is that the target sequence is very long and it’s difficult to change it, so you can’t use them to target any gene in the genome.
Once CRISPR was developed, it was very easy to take what we already knew from HEGs and extend to CRISPR.
OK. So that’s how gene drive works. What are the authors doing in this case? Previous work was to use gene drive to spread anti-malaria genes into populations. But that’s not what’s going on here.
In this case, the authors are targeting a mosquito sex determining gene called doublesex. Simplifying things a bit, when this gene is completely disrupted, female development gets screwed up (they get kind of intersex) and they can’t bite or reproduce. If they have one copy, they’re fine, of they have zero copies, they’re screwed.
So because of the drive aspect, this gene increases in frequency even though it is essentially lethal in the homozygous state. Ultimately this results in a population crash if the gene spreads to high enough frequency (no females left). They also did some experiments to show that in their lab cages, resistance to the gene did not develop.
All good. Very clever molecular biology building on a mountain of research by this group and others over the last 2 decades. Do I think this will work?
No I do not.
Here’s where we shift from the realm of data to the realm of opinion. But I’d say my opinion is an educated and experienced one. DISCLAIMER: I am know in the community as a skeptic of gene drive. But I have been working on various aspects of gene drive for 20 years, and only became a skeptic due to data. SO take that for what it’s worth.
I have no issues with the molecular biology presented in this paper. But to say that resistance won’t develop is a fantasy IMO (the authors toned this down in the final published version; I had seen an earlier draft version where this lack of resistance was highly touted in the title and abstract). You can’t trick evolution.
I would bet a large amount of money that if this was released into nature, resistance to the drive (probably mutations in the target site) would evolve and shut it down. This is an issue with any CRISPR-based gene drive system. This same group published a paper a few years ago where they used CRISPR to target an introduced gene for green fluorescent protein (meaning if the drive works the mosquitoes lose their green fluorescence over time). Resistance to that evolved in cage populations within 4 generations.
Resistance will evolve in response to fitness costs. There is no bigger fitness cost than death (or sterility, which from an evolutionary standpoint is the same thing). We see this in nature. In mosquitoes, there are naturally occurring genes called “meotic drive”, that often kill female offspring but not males. But if you take a random sample of mosquitoes and breed them, you never see the effect of these genes. Because resistance alleles (of a variety of sorts) evolve to suppress them. But if you take the mosquitoes and outcross them to distant populations you often then see the meiotic drive genes work (in the form of male-biased sex ratios) because the outcrossed population lacks the suppressor alleles.
If these traits would spread, they would have evolved by themselves already. But they haven’t. They won’t spread because the selection for resistance is so high.
If we want to get genes to spread in populations, we need to stop focusing on drive efficiency and start focusing on mitigating fitness costs (or engineering fitness benefits – surprisingly tricky!). I do not think that gene drives to crash populations will every work.
But I get in friendly arguments with these folks all the time. Time will tell who is correct…