Guess I misunderstood your first post - I thought the emphasis was on our, (i.e., the West’s) part of the responsibility for Russia’s nuclear saber-rattling. Sorry, second language and all that.
Interesting subject, though!
You’re of course completely right about Russia’s wish to be seen as a superpower again. I just don’t see that happening anytime soon. Frankly, I think those competing for power in Russia are aware of that as well, Shirinovsky (sp?)not included.
Would Putin like to present a nice gift-wrapped military victory to the voters, preferably before the election ? He certainly would. Can he do so ? I don’t think so - perhaps in Czechnya, but where else ?
Perhaps I’m giving more credit than is due, but I think that the people competing for power in Russia right now are bright enough to realize that the current war is a propaganda stunt. It’s like the russian “liberation” of Pristina airport wrote big - nice headlines, but nothing substantial.
Whoever gets elected had better get the victory (no matter how this war ends, you can BET they’ll find a way to call it a victory) parades over and get to work. No need to run costly campaigns once you are elected, is there ? And anyone who can turn the Russian economy just a bit in the right direction will hopefully find himself rewarded at the polls next time. Ok, colour me optimistic.
FWIW, an analyst on the BBC gave another reason for Russia to lower their nuclear threshold: It’s the obvious move to make, if your conventional forces are weaker than your opponent’s. And he’s right - it’s reminiscent of NATO’s cold-war “flexible response”.
Try to put yourself in the place of the Russian military high command: Your buffer zones have been reduced to nothing. A LOT of your neighbors carry a grudge. Said neighbours joined an alliance that didn’t fire in anger for 50 years, but just recently demonstrated how it could turn off a country at will - and it did so in your own back yard. Oh, and your conventional forces have evaporated. I’d bet a beer that you’d tell your staff to try to find a way to make those bloody expensive missiles useful in some way or other. And that’s what Russia did. It’s the logical thing to do.
Nah, I’m not that scared yet. And compared to the bad old days (remember those ?), I’m hardly scared at all.