[QUOTE=LinusK]
Well, nobody in the control group would get AIDS, right? I mean, even if they got an AIDS-type disease, it wouldn’t be considered AIDS, because they didn’t have HIV.
[/QUOTE]
Except some people in the control group could contract HIV the old fashioned way. Unless we’re planning on locking these people in isolation cells for 10 years, some of them are going to have unprotected sex and some of those will have unprotected sex with someone HIV positive.
Look, I don’t understand what the objection is. In today’s medical community AIDS is defined as immune deficiency caused by HIV. There are other causes of immune deficiency, but those aren’t called AIDS, because that’s not how AIDS is defined. There are other causes of rashes of tiny red sores than varicella-zoster virus, but only tiny red sores caused by varicella-zoster virus are called chicken pox. Why is this such a hard concept to understand?
We had an explosion of cases of immune deficiency in the 80s. There were people who had immune deficiencies before, but it was vanishingly rare in healthy young men. Suddenly we had thousands of such cases. The term AIDS was invented to describe these new cases that were so different than previous cases of immune deficiency. It was theorized that these cases had a common cause. That cause was found to be HIV. It certainly is possible that a few of the people diagnosed with AIDS in the 80s were actually suffering from an illness that had a different cause than the majority of cases. Except now that we can test for the presence of HIV antibodies and HIV itself, people with compromised immune systems that weren’t HIV+ wouldn’t be diagnosed with AIDS, they’d be diagnosed with something else. Because now AIDS is defined by HIV infection, just like chicken pox is defined by varicella-zoster virus infection.
100 years ago they diagnosed chicken pox by the symptoms and didn’t understand the cause. Probably several people were diagnosed with chicken pox that were infected with some other virus. Heck, even today people are diagnosed with chicken pox just by the symptoms, we don’t run a blood test to confirm the diagnosis. But if someone came to a doctor with a rash of sores all over their body, and the doctor said, “Hmm, looks like chicken pox”, but then ran a test for varicella-zoster virus that came back negative, the doctor wouldn’t say, “You’ve got the kind of chicken pox that isn’t caused by the chicken pox virus, you’ve got another kind”. Nope, he’d say, “We don’t know what’s causing this rash, it’s a mystery, but it isn’t chicken pox even though it looks like chicken pox”.
I’m sorry if that sounds circular to you, but it seems simple and straightforward to me.