Down by 8: PAT or 2 Pt Conversion?

This is definitely true. My argument is that this doesn’t make the overall strategy of a PAT on the first TD better. With your strategy, after you take your time, put together a good drive, and score a TD, you still have to make the 2PC. Here is how I see the two scenarios:

A. Kick the PAT on the first TD, go for two on the second TD. You need to:

  • Make the PAT
  • Get the ball back
  • Stage a touchdown drive
  • Make the 2PC

B. Go for two on the first TD. You need to:

  • Make the 2PC
  • Get the ball back
  • Stage a touchdown drive
  • Make the PAT

It seems to me that the chances of success are the same in both cases.

The advantage I am claiming is that in B, if you miss the 2PC, you have the (very small) chance to successfully rush down the field, flinging passes as you say. This has a small chance of success, but I’m claiming it has a larger chance of success than the similar situation when you fail on the 2PC after the second TD.