This might end up as a debate, but let’s start here.
I heard on NPR today an interview with the creative VP of a firm which has successfully developed something they call “e-ink”, a flexible medium with microscopically small elements that can be turned on and off, making black-on-white letters and images, just like a newspaper (without the ink rubbing off on your hands). If you’ve seen the film Minority Report, think of the newspaper-like objects people were holding on the mass transit when Cruise’s character was escaping, which all updated with his “wanted” picture in real time. There’s a pretty good description of it here
The idea is that these would be wirelessly connected, internally powered, lightweight, flexible or foldable screens that could be updated whenever you want with current news or whatever from a subscription source, obviating the need to print and sell paper newspapers. The supposition in the interview was that these things would be widely available within a couple of years.
So what do you think this would do to the future of newspapers? I work for a newspaper, and would like to think it will survive until I can at least retire.
I think if newspapers are smart they will jump on this technology first, to expand their scope as news providers. But I have no idea what will happen to the current revenue model, where probably 90% of revenue comes from advertising. On the other hand, the biggest expense for newspapers is the cost of printing and distributing the damn things, so it would be an opportunity for them to get out from under that.
So what do you see happening, if this technology becomes available at a reasonable price?