That’s going to be harder this year. Something like half of all voters voted early, so exit polls are less reliable.
82K voted early
160k registered voters
Some states are slow to count the mail-in ballots, including critical Pennsylvania. PA will likely take days, and might take weeks, to count the vote. There will probably be a couple of states that are too close to call early in the evening, as well.
I expect we’ll get a lot of results shortly after polls close, but they will mostly be in states where we already have an extremely good idea of the results.
Depending on the Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina, we may have Nevada and Arizona out of play when the Eastern Time Zone polls close. At worst wait for Wisconsin (CST) polls.
Current numbers can be misleading, as there are structural and geographic biases as to which votes are reported when. Early votes may be counted before or after election day voters. Suburbs may report before either cities or rural areas.
I’m expecting to wait a few days for results. Unless it’s a blow out one way or the other.
I’m still trying to understand why the media hypes up the fact that Republicans (or Democrats, for that matter) vote early. It simply cannibalizes the Election-Day vote itself. Unless they are arguing that the parties will get more early-votes plus their usual Election Day votes.
Unless idiot and insane person are defined in that ballot measure or elsewhere in state law, I would expect courts to rule it unconstitutionally vague. However, to get standing to contest that provision, someone would have to be excluded from voting based on it. So it would likely be a dead letter in practice.
This may well be true. But Kornacki says there will be some early returns that could be strong indicators of the national race—e.g., Georgia. And he said it could be very encouraging for Harris even if she loses the state, depending upon how she does in certain counties.
I will be glued to MSNBC this evening. His “and here’s why this is important” explanations are absolutely awesome.
“Idiot” is a person with an IQ between 0-25, “Imbecile” is a person with an IQ between 26-50, “Moron” is a person with an IQ between 51-70. There has been precedent for hese definitions in court so I don’t think the state needs to define them.
My question is, was the state using IQ tests to disenfranchise people previously? Or is this just poison pill language. Would disenfranchising citizens with low IQs even be constitutional?
Not many problems. Daylight Saving Time made a larger impact, since I naturally awoke 1 hour before I normally do, but thankfully was able to fall back asleep.
Tonight will be another story. The election will not likely be decided firmly enough to not want to wake up throughout the night to find news about the count.
I’m traveling tomorrow, leaving work early to head for the airport for a flight to Germany. I’ll probably be watching MSNBC this evening for as long as I can stand the stress (unless things…nope, not going to jinx it). Really hoping things are decisive by the morning. I’ve been overseas on election day before, but the stakes were much lower that time. Plus, Europeans often mistake me for an American (for some reason especially the Welsh, not sure what that’s about) so I don’t want my accent to make me a target of agressively conversational anything (good or bad).
Yup, I slept only from about 4 AM to 8 AM, and even then only fitfully, waking up multiple times. I’m usually the kind to sleep all the way til 10:20. My dreams had election related themes too.