Election of a new Governor of California, 2026

This article is from today:

San Francisco Chronicle: “The odds of a Democratic lockout in the California governor’s race have shrunk dramatically”

Sacramento data expert Paul Mitchell, who created an online model that simulates thousands of election scenarios, said that “the program really believes that the odds of two Republicans splitting the vote is more remote, almost nonexistent.”

That seems like good news. Also…

Analysts also said President Donald Trump’s endorsement this month of Hilton “probably consolidates at least a lot of the MAGA support behind Hilton,” decreasing the chance of two Republicans advancing, said Ruth Bernstein, the senior principal with EMC Research, which was Swalwell’s longtime pollster.