In another thread, Libertarian asked:
I thought it was fodder for a new thread. But since Lib didn’t start it, I decided to.
Part of the implication is that eyewitness testimony just isn’t all that good. You can read a bit about this in the “Repressed Memories” thread: http://www.straightdope.com/ubb/Forum7/HTML/000832.html
Courts have, in the past, sent innocent people to jail based on false memories. People believe all sorts of things based on false memories of things they believe to have happened. For example, as I noted in the Repressed Memories thread, back in 1996, I wrote the following portion of a newsletter article about an article in Nature:
Exaggerated Testimony and the Indian Rope Trick
There was an interesting letter in Nature (9/13) regarding an investigation into how reliable personal testimony is when the claims are extraordinary.
In particular, the authors investigated the old (late nineteenth century) Indian rope trick, which generally is described as follows: A magician throws one end of a rope into the air; the rope remains rigid; a boy climbs up the rope and disappears at the top; the magician orders the boy to return, but he will not; the magician climbs up the rope with a knife and also disappears; the boy’s dismembered body parts fall to the ground and are then covered by the returning magician; when he removes the cover, the boy is magically restored. If this trick were ever done, it would, indeed, be quite extraordinary!
However, when people searched for magicians who could do the trick – sometimes offering great sums of money – nobody could be found. It was frequently suggested that witnesses had seen a simple street magic trick and then exaggerated it over time. The authors of this letter decided to see if that suggestion could be proven.
What they found was that there is, indeed, a correlation between the length of time between the observation of the trick and the complexity of the description of the trick. In other words, if a person saw the trick only a few years ago, he described it as being somewhat simpler (for example: boy climbs up rope; boy seems to disappear; boy reappears on rope) while somebody who saw it 30 years earlier had a much more complex memory of the trick, similar to what I described earlier.
Indeed, even those who had seen the trick only two years earlier exaggerated to some extent, as was proven when a witness showed a photograph to an investigator, who pointed out that it was not a rope at all, but a bamboo stick with a boy balancing on top of it.
It may seem a little silly to investigate a trick that was done last century, but I think it does have definite bearing on the reliability of witnesses when dealing with extraordinary claims. Simply put: extraordinary claims demand extraordinary proof – witness statements simply will not do. And this investigation shows one very good reason why this is so.
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So, while I don’t know what the implication will be in the future, I hope that people – especially the courts – will realize that memory is not perfect. It is not a VCR that you can just rewind and play back. Yes, we still need eyewitness testimony in the courts, and it certainly can be accurate sometimes. But we need to be careful.
What does anybody else think?