[QUOTE=Liberal]
Cut them all the slack they need, I say. It’s going to be a spectacular hanging.
[/QUOTE]
I’m starting to think you’re right. I’ve always been of the opinion that the “Republicans have no chance” meme was just ignorant of history, polls and facts. But I’m starting to think John McCain is going to get run over like a hamster in front of a steamroller.
Negative attacks work. But they have to be intelligently planned and carried out, because the problemn with flinging mud is that if you’re bad at it you get more on yourself than on the guy you’re flinging it at. The attacks on Obama are becoming silly and hysterical; rather than waiitng out his popularity surge, letting him make his own mistakes, and then carefully attacking his platform and his persoanlity in weak areas, the right is going berserk over nothing.
A couple of years ago we had an election in Canada. The incumbent was Paul Martin and the Liberals; the Liberals had been in power for 13 years, Martin for a few. The challenger was Stephen Harper and the Conservatives, a very different sort of person from Obama (he’s not charismatic) but, like Obama, the choice if you wanted something different. The Liberals, who historically are the much slicker, smarter party, found themselves falling behind a bit. They were on the defensive over a scandal, a lot of their better spinmasters had walked away when Martin became leader, and some bad campaign decisions were made. They started lashing out at the Conservatives in the most bizarre, hysterical fashion. Weird accusations and claims flew like paper airplanes. Martin suddenly, out of absolutely nowhere, announced in the middle of a TV debate he was going to amend the Constitution, which (given recent Canadian history) is about as appealing a promise to Canadians as saying “I’m going to have an RCMP officer knock on every door and kick every make Canadian in the balls and punch all the women in the face just to make it fair.” There was a definite air of desperation as the attacks came further and further from out in left field.
Then the Liberals ran an ad - only aired once, but then it got out on YouTube - that actually seemed to be suggesting the Conservatives were going to declare martial law and just shoot people at random.
It blew up, badly. Coverage of the ad dominated the press for days, overshadowed the French-language debate, and was invariably presented by all media outlkets in the vein of “What in the hell were they thinking?” The end result of that ad was the worst thing a politician, or a party, can have happen to them; people laughed at them. It was so over the top that people had to laugh. The ad was lampooned endlessly on comedy programs and on the Internet. And any REAL negative message the Liberals tried after that was effectively squished; having cried wolf once, their message carried the stink of dishonesty and loserdom. They managed to lose an election for the first time since 1988.
The Republicans and their FOX lapdogs, I think, are going to make the same mistake at some point between now and November. They’re going to keep syaing stupi shit, but there will be one gigantic shotgun blast right into the feet, a moment of such transcendent insanity, that their campaign will no longer be behind, or losing, or in trouble; it will become a joke. And then it’s over.