I have questions about potential wars in the near future.
If any of these happend and North Korea decided to jump, could we fight two wars at the same time?
I think that it’s HIGHLY unlikely that North Korea would become involved, they’re trying to unify the country. If they did, it would depend on where the other conflict was. I’d think that if we were battling China, and North Korea jumped in , then history would sadly repeat itself…and the Korean Peninsula would remain fractured for a very long time to come.
It’s a good question. Since he lacks virtually ALL skills needed to be an effective leader domestically or in the foreign arena, The Shrub knows that he will only make a reasonable run at re-election by declaring war. Hopefully one that’s a slam-dunk. It’s tragic.
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These questions do not have definite answers, however I can add to the debate:
1.The US would probably aid Israel, but not send ground troops. Israel would likely not be ask for troops anyway. Help could equal money and intelligence or up to air support and naval bombardment. Any help would be contingent on the actions by both sides leading up to the hostilities.
If possible and winable: maybe.
Again, no easy answer. Since they are both NATO members, the US would not openly aid the aggressor.
Since none of the above would likely require ground troops and since the US has lots of ground troops already in N. Korea, it could probably be done.
Um, shouldn’t this be in Great Debates?
Anyway, I’ll have a go…
Briefly:
Israel: Nah. They’ve been in innumerable wars already without our help, and have proven themselves capable of victory. If, however, their backs were against the wall and facing the extinction of the Israeli state…I figure we’d at least supply them with whatever arms they needed.
Taiwan: More probable. I think if Red China had their eye to capture Taiwan by force, it would be regarded as a first step toward a greater domination of Asia, and aiding Taiwan would nip that scenario in the proverbial bud. But my guess is, just slightly probably not; maybe there’s about a 40% chance we’d intervene; China is, after all, a formidable opponent. But, again, we’d probably arm our allies.
Turkey: No way. They’re both friends of ours (I mean, they’re both in NATO). Greece has been a traditional U.S. ally (though the Turks seem to like us a lot more nowadays). We’d try to negotiate (as we have before) but if it came to blows we’d certainly opt out. (Unless there were a clear agressor, in which case the NATO charter would mandate action against the initiator).
I’m more concerned with South America. The Drug War could turn Colombia into our next Vietnam. A slow but steady escalation of arms, advisors, etc. and before you know it, we’re sending our own troops, and they’re sending them back in bags.
With North Korea I don’t concern myself one-half of an iota. Any intervention in South Korea and all those Northerners would learn what a crap-hole the Kims have made of their country and the government would collapse in an instant.
This is all WAG and IMHO, but I’m interested in hearing what people have to say.
Prince George W. belongs to the oil industry, lock, stock, and 55-gallon barrel. They bought him fair and square. If Israel were to get into a war with one of its oil-rich neighbors, and threaten the profits of Dubya’s owners, He would naturally be obligated to spend billions of our tax dollars to rescue the profits. Just like his daddy did.
There’s a very good “future war” novel called “The War in 2006” that covers all three scenarios relatively convincingly. In it, the US supports Israel (although ends up nuking hypothetical Israeli missile sites to prevent massive nuclear strikes on Arab cities), Taiwan (through a massive stealth raid on Chinese amphibious forces) and doesn’t get involved in Greece/Turkey.