What are the chances! Who knows? This thread takes a bunch of contemporary events and asks you to guess at the chance it works out. You don’t have to justify things unless you want to. Perhaps you’ll be the next Jeanne Dixon!
So, what are the chances that:
The phosphine from Venus is from microbes or living things and not an error or an undiscovered chemical process?
No new Supreme Court judge is in place by January 2021 (i.e. Trump and McConnell are unsuccessful)?
All COVID restrictions are lifted in the US in eight months time?
The Democrats win both the US House and the Senate?
The next successful Republican candidate has the last name Trump or Pence?
There will be a female or Latino President by 2030?
Done without looking at subsequent posts. We will have no way of knowing if anyone is right, of course. Only if they are wrong, and only if they use 0% and the event happens, or 100%, and it does not happen.
0%, but I assume you mean 2021, in which case, 20%