Spiritus Mundi is correct about Oscar qualification rules. Ghost Dog and Virgin Suicides are 2000 films for the purposes of Academy consideration, although The War Zone, sadly, is not, meaning its chance has passed.
As far as Gladiator, my review will be up on my site soon, but I wouldn’t hold my breath for any major artistic awards come the end of the year. It’s populist entertainment, a la Braveheart (which, incidentally, should not have won, IMHO), but it’s got a somewhat literary subtext that dilutes its popcorn appeal.
Bottom line, I thought it was pretty good, but not great. Of course, we all know that quality has nothing to do with Oscar recognition (Forrest Gump, anyone?). But knowing what the Academy usually honors, I would say that Gladiator’s chances of being nominated for Picture, Actor, Director, Screenplay, or in any other significant category are slim to none.
Who will be nominated? This early, it’s impossible to say. I think Julia Roberts has a 50/50 shot at being remembered for Erin Brockovich, but just about everything else will be chosen from movies that haven’t come out yet. For example, I bet Tom Hanks is a shoo-in for Castaway. Michael Douglas will get good notices in Traffic, and depending on what Soderbergh does with the movie, it has a chance at a Best Picture nomination. Jim Carrey will be playing the Grinch, and M. Night Shyamalan’s Unbreakable is tentatively scheduled for Thanksgiving. (He’s the writer/director of The Sixth Sense, for those of you who don’t read credits.) Kevin Spacey has a fall movie, Pay It Forward, and keep your eye also on Thirteen Days, the re-creation of the Cuban Missile Crisis. Fringe possibilities: Proof of Life, starring Russell Crowe and Meg Ryan; *The Golden Bowl, a Merchant/Ivory production. Or any of the other hundred Oscar-oriented movies released after Hallowe’en.
But Gladiator? I think not.