Oscar Nomination Predictions

The Oscar Nominations will be announces 8:38am eastern (5:38am on the left coast). I like to guess what the nominations will be so I can get really pissed off when I get them all wrong. I will post my thoughts about the REAL nominations tomorrow after they’re announced.


FYI, I saw all of the films mentioned below (in the theater)except Dancer in the Dark and Before Night Falls:

Best Picture:
Almost Famous
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
Dark Horse: Chocolat, Cast Away
My Choice of these: Quills (then (in order): Almost Famous; Traffic; Crouching Tiger)
My Choice overall: Requiem for a Dream

Best Director:
Ang Lee (Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon)
Darren Aronofsky (Requiem for a Dream)
Cameron Crowe (Almost Famous)
Ridley Scott (Gladiator)
Steven Soderbergh (Traffic)
Dark Horse: Curtis Hanson (Wonder Boys), Philip Kaufman (Quills)
My Choice of these: Aronofsky (then: Soderbergh, Crowe, Lee)
My Choice Overall: Aronofsky

Best Actor in a Leading Role:
Javier Bardem (Before Night Falls)
Russel Crowe (Gladiator)
Michael Douglas (Wonder Boys)
Tom Hanks (Cast Away)
Geoffrey Rush (Quills)
Dark Horse: Mark Ruffalo (You Can Count on Me); Denzel Washington (Remember the Titans)
My choice of these: Haven’t seen “Before Night Falls”, of the other four I would pick Geoffrey Rush in a land slide.
My choice overall: Geoffrey Rush

Best Actress in a Leading Role:
Joan Allen (The Contender)
Ellen Burstyn (Requiem for a Dream)
Laura Linney (You Can Count on Me)
Julia Roberts (Erin Brockovich)
Renee Zellweger (Nurse Betty)
Dark Horse: Bjork (Dancer in the Dark); Juliette Binoche (Chocolat)
My Choice of these: Burstyn in a runaway (followed by Linney, Zellweger, Allen)
My choice overall: Burstyn

Best Supporting Actor:
Willem Dafoe (Shadow of the Vampire)
Benicio Del Toro (Traffic)
Albert Finney (Erin Brockovich)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (State and Main)
Joaquin Phoenix (Gladiator)
Dark Horse: Billy Crudup (Almost Famous); Jeff Bridges (The Contender); Bruce Greenwood (Thirteen Days)
My choice of these: Dafoe edges Del Toro, followed by Hoffman and Finney
My Choice overall: Dafoe edges Del Toro again

Best Supporting Actress:
Judi Dench (Chocolat)
Catherine Deneuve (Dancer in the Dark)
Kate Hudson (Almost Famous)
Frances McDormand (Almost Famous)
Zhang Ziyi (Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon)
Dark Horse: Julie Waters (Billy Elliot); Kate Winslet (Quills); Lena Olin (Chocolat)
My choice of these: Haven’t seen “Dancer”, of the others would choose Hudson over McDormand, then Dench
My choice overall: Jennifer Connelly over Kate Hudson

Best Original Screenplay:
Almost Famous (Cameron Crowe)
Chicken Run (Lord, Park, and Kirkpatrick)
Nurse Betty (Richards, Flamberg)
State and Main (Mamet)
You Can Count On Me (Lonergan)
Dark Horse: Some of those are dark horses to many, instead choosing Gladiator, Cast Away, and Billy Elliot
My Choice of these: TOUGH TO CALL! *You Can Count on Me *over Nurse Betty, Almost Famous, and State and Main. But I LOVED Chicken Run
My Choice Overall: Any of these five will do!

Best Adapted Screenplay:
All the Pretty Horses (Tally)
Chocolat (Jacobs)
Quills (Wright)
Traffic (Gaghan)
Wonder Boys (Kloves)
Dark Horse: The House of Mirth, Requiem for a Dream, Thirteen Days
My Choice of these: Wonder Boys edges Quills and Traffic, followed by All the Pretty Horses
My Choice Overall: Requiem for a Dream

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
O Brother, Where Art Thou?
The Perfect Storm
Shadow of the Vampire
Dark Horse: Legend of Bagger Vance, Requiem for a Dream, Quills
My Choice of these: O Brother over Shadow*, Crouching Tiger, Gladiator
My Choice overall: toss-up, take O Brother over Requiem for a Dream*

Art/Set Direction:
The Cell
Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon
How the Grinch Stole Christmas
Shadow of the Vampire
Dark Horse: Gladiator, The Patriot,
My choice of these: The Cell over Quills, Shadow, CTHD.
My Choice overall: Chicken Run

Costume Design:
The House of Mirth
How the Grinch Stole Christmas
Shadow of the Vampire
Dark Horse: CTHD, The Patriot
My choice of these: Quills over Shadow, then Mirth and Gladiator
My choice overall: O Brother Where Art Thou?

I’ll leave the rest for someone else…

Stupid question: you have Requiem winning awards and you never nominated it. How’s that, Joey?

The “My Choice of These” option was my pick of the 5 that I thought would be nominated, the “my choice overall” pick was of all movies in contention, even those that had little change of being nominated (i.e. Requiem).

It’s all a moot point now since the Academy has announced the nomnations and sent me into an angry tirade. But that’s for another thread.