Essentially, every person under 65 will be able to buy into Medicare at a monthly rate equal to costs incurred by individuals in his/her age group. Thus, the bill costs nothing since the individuals who opt into the plan pay their own way.
This is a much better form of the public option than that originally proposed, since it’s simple and builds on an already existing federal program.
I don’t see how this avoids the problem of all the people with pre-existing conditions (that would cause their premiums from a commercial insurer to be much higher than average) signing on to Medicare, while the healthier ones sign on to commercial insurance at a much lower cost. Until they get some horribly expensive disease of course, when it is off to the medicare plan.
Well, the current healthcare bill prohibits discrimination based on pre-existing conditions (although I believe it’s enforced with a fine). How do you know the Medicare monthly premiums would be greater than those of private insurance?
It is another pointless activity in the house. Personally I like the bill but it has no chance of ever becoming law. Even if it passes in the house it’s unlikely to ever be heard in the senate. Until the senate is fixed they should go home and only come in to vote of senate bills. We’re are at about 300 bills that have passed the house and are waiting for senate votes whats the point of adding more to that pile.
You have not been paying attention. It is a lot closer than you think.
I am having a hard time following all the parliamentary fiddly-bits that need to be overcome but I think Dems have finally realized they need to get something done. Via reconciliation the Dems can sidestep Republican intervention and pass it via a simple majority vote (which the Blue Dog Dems are not enough to stop either).
The Senate parliamentarian tossed a road block in the way but not an insurmountable one. Have to wait and see.
Currently they are waiting on CBO scoring before moving ahead.
I’ve never thought it was realistic to get any problem nearly of this magnitude fixed entirely in one go. Health care is going to need continued maintenance and adjustments over the years, just like anything else. The important thing is to make major progress with this bill, get it done, get it established, and get the concept that progress can be made established as well.
I do agree that expanding Medicare into a national single-payer program instead of a seniors-only one is the obvious, and least contestable, way to get the last major problem fixed. We already know it’s far more efficient than the private sector, and it wouldn’t represent a new bureaucracy that can be effectively demagogued. But implementation can wait, and be added later once the fearmongering over the current approach has been falsified and forgotten. Grayson’s amendment, like the Senate proposal last year to lower the eligibility age partway, establishes the seed of the concept, and that may be all he really expected. Whack, the CBO’s scoring has already come in. It reduces the deficit by $118 billion over 10 years. Let the Pubbies complain about that. :rolleyes:
So far, 40 senators have signed on to passing the public option via reconciliation. If the House passes it, Durbin could conceivably whip up the needed votes.
Pelosi has been keen on the public option, although yesterday Stupak et al were tossed aside, obviating the abortion issue, but making the necessary votes that much harder to get.
I agree the Public Option is a stretch but the last whip count I saw (and maddeningly cannot find the cite for now) started with those 40 and was able to count up to 51 (52?) with the final ones being suggested as probable. They only need 50 as Biden can cast the tiebreaker.
Not sure how it is in the House but last I saw it was pretty close as well.
That said my post you quoted was more about healthcare reform passing at all than reform with a public option. It seems likely that the reform will probably get in sans a public option. The public option would be icing.
Not sure if this is what you’re referring to, but 53 Senators are open to using reconciliation on the healthcare bill.
Meanwhile, Grayson’s Medicare buy-in already has 50 co-sponsors in the House. But, just to be clear, it is a separate piece of legislation. I initially misunderstood and the thread title is misleading–Grayson’s bill has its own number and can be voted on separately. Also, as far as I understand, it is not an amendment to the healthcare bill, so the Senate’s opposition to a future amendment should not be a problem here.
You’d think other Dems would take notice. Particularly when Grayson is the leading candidate in the Republican primary in his state (yes I typed that right).
It will be interesting to see the arguments of its opponents. It’s budget neutral, so they can’t claim it will actually raise spending. Nor is there a mandate attached. So, if they try to build either of these strawmen, they would essentially be creating an argument for using reconciliation (if it really did affect the budget)–or they would have to admit that they are lying.
I don’t know why they didn’t just do this from the very beginning. Okay, I know why, but the political approach of the Dems during the HCR debate has just been plain stupid. If they had done this from the beginning, it would have been much simpler for people to understand and therefore less susceptible to misinformation campaigns. But yeah, I doubt this will go anywhere right now.
The Dems could have then pushed for the other cost control measures in the next session, after the Medicare buy-in had taken effect.