The column about hand sanitizer says this (bolding added):
Huh? What is this supposed to mean? There were tens of millions of H1N1 cases in the US in 2009, corresponding to more than 10% of the population.
The column about hand sanitizer says this (bolding added):
Huh? What is this supposed to mean? There were tens of millions of H1N1 cases in the US in 2009, corresponding to more than 10% of the population.
Yeah, this is really really not right. The CDC estimated that up to 89 Million people got H1N1. The low range of their estimate is 43 Million, which itself is considerably greater than 1 in 10 people (the total US population is 312 million currently).
Bumping this. The column contains serious misinformation that should be corrected somewhere.
Not quibbling with the possiblity that the column info should be revised.
But the CDC actually said that the low range was between 39 million and 41 million. 10% of the population is about 31 million. So, yep, it exceeded the 10% in the column, assuming the CDC extrapolations were valid.
Figures are for 2009.
The column doesn’t say 10%, it says “less than one in a million”, which is a ridiculous claim.
So, Cecil claimed less than about 31 million. I agree, it wasn’t a good estimate on his part.
I hereby rescind my posts in this thread. I was wrong. Cecil blew it. I blame Little Ed. Editors are such idiots.
How many deaths from H1N1 were there? True, the column doesn’t say " the average American’s chances of dying from the disease were less than one in a million", so it’s still wrong, but perhaps that’s what was intended.
Though I’m going to guess H1N1 claimed more than 312 lives, anyway.
[ul]
[li]CDC estimates that between 42 million and 86 million cases of 2009 H1N1 occurred between April 2009 and February 13, 2010. The mid-level in this range is about 59 million people infected with 2009 H1N1. [/li][li]CDC estimates that between about 188,000 and 389,000 H1N1-related hospitalizations occurred between April 2009 and February 13, 2010. The mid-level in this range is about 265,000 2009 H1N1-related hospitalizations. [/li][li]CDC estimates that between about 8,520 and 17,620 2009 H1N1-related deaths occurred between April 2009 and February 13, 2010. The mid-level in this range is about 12,000 2009 H1N1-related deaths.[/li][/ul]
cite
Oh, come on, 31 million people vs less than 31 people, that’s pretty close, right?
1 in a million would be more like 310 people, not 31. But you’re still a factor of 100,000 times more accurate than Cecil. Not too shabby!