Hee-haw, y'all. The 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary

Higgsenboson likely out, mulling CO Senate run:

Great news! Hopefully he does it.

I hope Beto does the same and drops out to challenge Cornyn. I think it should be obvious even to him that he’s not going to win the nomination. I think he has a better chance of beating Cornyn than winning the nomination.

Stacy Abrams ain’t runnin’.

Sorry for the double post. Here’s a link to a Houston Chronicle editorial asking Beto to do just that.

Similarly, Bullock has a better chance of beating Daines in MT than winning the nomination.

Texas’ filing deadline is this fall sometime, so Beto has a decision to make in just a few months, max.

December 9th for Texas senate filing.
I agree Beto would do much more good by running against Cornyn, I think this would also fire up the Texas democrats to get out and vote, he generated quite a bit of excitement around here. Same for Hickenlooper, I like him but don’t see any chance for him on the big stage.
Hang better check if that is state or federal.
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Yep all of them

Hickenloop is probably going to get primaried, and it may not be as easy to get his party’s nomination as he thinks.

Whenever I read the word Hickenlooper, I think of Dr. Seuss books.

A Starbelly ran forth looking hastily for a pooper.
“He must really have to go,” thought President Hickenlooper

Who else would be in contention for Colorado’s Senate seat? And isn’t he pretty popular in his state?

The Washington Post had a couple of articles about that last week. I, too, just assumed he was a shoe-in for Colorado Senate. However:

He’d still be the odds-on favorite, to be sure. But there is some concern.

Huh? Hickenlooper’s out of office at present. You mean some future election?

That comment about the Senate being undesirable doesn’t help, but it’s easy to laugh off - who wouldn’t rather be President than Senator?

Yeah, that’s the problem with trying to switch horses in midstream. Setting aside any ideological differences people may have with Hickenlooper, you can’t reasonably expect every other ambitious Democrat in the State to hold off on running for Senate until Hick makes his mind up, or to just give up on their campaigns when he indicates he’s willing to settle for the Senate after all.

Well, then again, on the other hand…

It’s good that we’re starting to see the shakeout this early - candidates for the top job resetting their sights on Senator or Governor, pushing others down the ladder into other offices *they *can win, and so forth. The Dems were leaving far too many offices uncontested by otherwise solid candidates who were overreaching with the Presidency.

Hey, Beto? Senate again, okay, pardner? You can be Hickenlooper’s colleague there, and with the White House once again in the hands of a decent human being with a reality-based agenda you can work with. That ain’t so bad. Inslee and Bullock? Stay where you are; we need you there. Cabinet if asked, though.

All right, so which dark-horse Democrat still has the strongest (any realistic) chance of pulling off the long-shot to get the nomination?

Interesting question. It’s hard for me to imagine a plausible scenario for any of them at this point. If Biden were to drop out for some reason, it would create an opening for a moderate like Beto, Mayor Pete or Klobuchar, and free up some black support which might go to Booker. I doubt any one of those when end up with the lion’s share of his voters, though.

Otherwise, it seems like every major demographic and ideological group within the Party is OK with at least one of the top four. I’m kind of surprised that Castro hasn’t attracted more support, being the only Hispanic in the race. He seems to be the only one of the also-ranks who has a significant constituency that he could theoretically appeal to. But if they haven’t rallied to him yet, I wouldn’t be holding my breath for them to do so in the future.

Yes, to win the Democratic nomination for US Senate in Colorado. Not “primaried” as in, “challenged within his own party to keep his current post,” but “not blessed with an unopposed primary for a post he hopes to win.”

Okay, but all those other Dems got into the race assuming Hickenlooper was out. Now that The Big Dog is in, expect most of them to target other offices instead.

Yeah, take a look at that poll that Thing Fish linked to. Granted, it’s only one poll, and a B+ isn’t the best rating… but it still has him at an outright majority, and a fairly strong one at that, even in a very crowded field. Even from one poll, that’s pretty compelling.