I think there are only 3 guys who have a real chance of winning: Mark Ingram, Tim Tebow and Colt McCoy. None of those guys strikes me as particularly deserving, but Heisman winners often aren’t.
There are really only three ways to win the Heisman Trophy:
Put up huge (perhaps record-breaking) numbers. That’s how Andre Ware, Ricky Williams and Ron Dayne won their Heismans.
Perform spectacularly in a nationally televised game that everybody was watching (Carson Palmer against Notre Dame, Charles Woodson against Ohio State).
This year, so far, nobody has really done either of those things. There’s still one more week of conference playoffs, so there’s still one last chance for Colt McCoy, Tim Tebow or Mark Ingram to have a spectacular game while EVERYBODY is watching.
But if none of those guys has a spectacular game, it will come down to the third scenario…
- Play quarterback for the team that looks most likely to win the national championship. Like Gino Torretta and Charlie Ward.
And if neither Ingram, McCoy nor Tebow is spectacular this Saturday? My bet is that the award will go to the quarterback of highest ranked remaining team.
If Florida wins, Tim Tebow will get the Heisman.
If Florida loses and Texas wins, Colt McCoy will get it.
If both Florida AND Texas lose, Mark Ingram will win it.