Honduras elects a new president. What now?

Honduras went ahead with its scheduled election on Sunday, while ousted President Manuel Zelaya remained holed up in the Brazilian embassy. Porfirio Lobo Sosa of the opposition/conservative National Party won with 56% of the vote – story here. Turnout figures are highly controversial:

Latin American leaders are divided on how to react:

As for the U.S. – Obama backed the election, after several changes of position.

So, what now? Does Lobo simply take office in January, and Honduras moves on? I don’t think the popular discontent with the constitution and the regime are about to die down.

Previous relevant GD threads posted since the coup of 06/28/09:

Honduras: Who’s correct?

sigh No, Manuel Zelaya is not an “anti-American socialist”

Explain Jim DeMint’s reaction to the Honduran Constitutional Crisis

U.S. calls Honduran coup a coup, cuts aid, might not recognize November election results

In other Latin American news, former leftist guerilla Jose Alberto Mujica Cordano (a/k/a El Pepe), of the Broad Front coalition of left-wing parties, was just elected president of Uruguay. Story here.

More proof Zelaya was just waiting to be shooed out of Honduras.

They oust the president legally and then hold an election where the sitting president did not run. I’, sure it’s a LatinAmerican first.

Let Hondurans get on with their country.

:dubious: Eh? What does this “prove”? Of course the conservative won – Zelaya (who would not have been a candidate in any case) told his supporters to boycott the election.

:rolleyes: Have you not noticed that practically every other government on Earth decided otherwise?

Most likely because they knew they were going to lose.

Well you liberals are the people who think we shouldn’t interfere in Latin America so if this coup ain’t our businesss than let the Hondurans remove their President if they wish.

You are ignoring that there was also a protest element, they rejected the party that removed the president.

As I mentioned before, the best was that no one should had come a winner in this situation, not Zelaya, but even less the coup plotters, I still think that to discourage other coups the coup plotters need to suffer, if not in Honduras, economic sanctions to any of their fortunes and business outside Honduras.

Of course they were. You don’t really think this was a free election, do you? That’s not something that can happen under what amounts to martial law.

And worsen the world economy and piss off a government who is more or less eager to be our allies?

Also do you really think Zelaya would have won in any circumstance?

Generally, liberals oppose intervention because we are usually intervening in favor of the bad guys. A military coup is the sort of thing we normally intervene to support.

I defer to the Honduran congress and supreme court in all Honduran legal issues. If they say it’s legal, it is.

He would not have been a candidate in any circumstances, coup or no coup.

Than what about Castro who launched a revolution basically the same as a coup.

No, it isn’t.

A revolution is a very different thing.


Zelaya was not going to run even on the last deal that was made, a deal that would had put Zelaya back just to demonstrate that the coup plotters had just lost symbolically, not even that was granted by the idiot Micheletti.

Incidentally the last deal was made with the help of the USA, The coup leaders decided to spit on the “allies”

With friends like that…

As said, not the same. And as I recall, the leader Castro overthrew, Batista, was himself in power due to a coup.

We can go back to forgetting how to find Honduras on a map?

Whatever the legality of the coup, it’s academic now. Zelaya was not eligible to run in this election. Might as well say that Allende is the current legal President of Chile despite several elections where other candidates won.

Zelaya’s position is that he’s the legitimate president only until his term expires in January. But that doesn’t mean the result is “academic.” The question is whether an election held under these circumstances can be considered legitimate. When Lobo takes office, he’s going to face denial of his legitimacy his whole term, both on-the-ground in Honduras and from other governments. It makes no difference, there, that no one else will be claiming to be the legitimate president of Honduras. The whole constitutional system will be in question.