I know that if the US loses, they will end the Group Stage at 4 points, putting them in second place to Germany pending the outcome of Portugal vs. Ghana. If Portugal and Ghana play to a draw, the US is through. But if the Portugal v. Ghana game ends in a win for either team, what needs to happen for the US to advance?
I believe the first tiebreaker is goal differential. The U.S. is currently +1; if they lose to Germany by one goal, they’ll be even.
With that in mind, we’re kinda cheering for Portugal over Ghana. Even if they beat Ghana, they’d have to make up a large goal differential to finish ahead of the U.S. Portugal is -4, So their margin over Ghana, and the Germany margin over the U.S., would have to total 5 goals and then the next tiebreaker kicks in.