Paywalled for me. Synopsis?
Do Trump’s fans understand this word salad?
Just remember kids, it’s Biden that’s cognitively challenged!
He also said that we need to move on from this incident that happened on Thursday. Tell that to the families of the people who died, and that does include the shooter (which, granted, some sources say was a brony or a furry).
I’m not sure why this part matters?
Hell, I’m not sure what it even means. Who or what is a a brony or furry?
A brony is someone who likes My Little Pony: Friendship Is Magic.
A furry is someone who cosplays as an animal.
Thank you.
Why it’s brought up: We already saw that with an earlier shooting (Tennessee?) and demands to know if the shooter was trans. Narrative to cast a certain category of “maladjusted” misfit (or acceptance thereof) as the problem.
Ah, apologies. I misinterpreted why you were mentioning it.
The Dems are gonna have to rally around their choice. But…
(Sorry if paywalled, maybe reached my share limit or summat? Summary below.)
(Charts showing Biden has largely lost leads over Trump for Latinos and college-educated White voters, but not Black voters. Trump has a big lead among non-college-educated White voters.)
Excerpt:
Trump, too, should be unelectable, owing to the 91 felonies with which he has been charged in different parts of America. Yet Joe Biden, the incumbent president, is so unpopular he may well lose to Mr Trump. There have been occasional calls for Mr Biden to step aside, like Johnson. But there is no sign that he is willing to do so and no guarantee that the Democrats would end up with a stronger candidate if he did. For that reason, although many Democratic operatives have grave misgivings about his candidacy, most are keeping quiet. As one puts it, if you’re all stuck on a boat of questionable seaworthiness, it is natural to wish for a finer vessel, but unproductive to poke holes in the hull or stoke a mutiny.
It is Mr Biden’s feeble polling that is seeding the angst. The Economist’s poll tracker for the Republican primary puts Mr Trump more than 50 percentage points ahead of his nearest rival, making him the prohibitive favourite. A polling average for the general election compiled by RealClearPolitics shows Mr Trump ahead of Mr Biden by a margin of 2.3 percentage points. This is well above his showing in the past two presidential contests, in which he consistently lagged in the polls. At this point in 2016 Mr Trump’s support was seven points lower: he trailed Hillary Clinton by a margin of five points. At this point in 2020 he trailed Mr Biden by five points.
With most states so partisan that they are not worth contesting, the presidential campaign will be centred on six where the outcome is actually uncertain: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Early polling in these states also shows Mr Biden several points behind. And some Democrats fear that these polls may be underestimating Mr Trump’s support, because his conspiracy-minded voters may not be open with those taking the surveys.
It’s the Economist, I trust them about as much as the Daily Mail on something like this.
What?
You think the Economist is akin to a tabloid?
Are we reading different things?
The campaign hasn’t even started. Most of America isn’t paying attention to the deranged shit Trump spews every day, nor are they paying attention to the prosecutions. Once the campaign starts, the Biden team will make sure every American with a TV or internet access knows all the details.
That’s why polling this early is meaningless.
They are extremists at being centrist (even by their own admission) and their perspective on some things is odd. I don’t put much stock in their predictions or evaluations of American politics.
I did not say it’s akin to a tabloid, and they do publish some good stuff, and are overall very reliable and have low bias. I just don’t trust them in this area.
You can evaluate sources as you wish. 538 gives Biden a 56.1% disapproval rating. It is too early to mean much. It is not fair to blame Biden for inflation as such. But I certainly think there must have been better candidates even though I think Biden generally sensible and pragmatic. Age would not be an issue with a charismatic candidate, a spring chicken in their sixties. Of course Trump should not be so popular, under most circumstances, but the man does nothing if not surprise.
What has Biden done to appeal to Latinos? Because he isn’t. With abortion an issue for women snd especially young women, this should be an easy demographic. He should be doing better even if it is early days yet.
Latinos are a religious bunch. Honestly, if the GOP was smart, Latinos could be an easy pick-up for them. Instead, republicans keep vilifying them.
Yes and no. Many Latinos are very family oriented and traditional; some skew Conservative but they are individuals with a. broad pastiche of views, from different generations, some from countries that are quite different from one another (even if many Americans are ignorant of these differences).
They perhaps have reason to doubt Trump’s religious sincerity and to be appalled at some of the national insults, and tactics used to discourage familial immigration. If it were true the current levels were due to Republican missteps, the levels would not differ so much from 2016 (see chart in article for details). True, some like authoritarians, some like Conservative social policies. But why should they see Biden as a strong alternative? The Dems can’t just assume everyone sees Trump as flawed, though he is. Amazingly, they need to make stronger arguments for many reasons on many issues.
We’ve had a metric ton of threads describing how “Latinos” aren’t all one thing. The short version is that the perspective between multi-generational families and those from differing nations is HUGE, many of whom consider themselves settled, successful, and wanting to protect what is theirs. Especially if (from their POV) they worked hard to be accepted and become citizens and the newcomers don’t.
I don’t always agree with @Whack-a-Mole, but they’re correct on yet another matter:
And that leaves out a small but noticeable percentage of young men (not just Latinos) who see the pugilistic, macho, and belligerent nature of Trump and modern wars on woke as EXTREMELY attractive.