You’ve got this army in Iraq that seems to be made up of two parts: the “Elite Guard”, or whatever it’s called, and the much larger rank-and-file army.
The relatively small Elite Guard looks like they might be pretty fanatical and devoted to Saddam, although this may not be completely true.
I’m guessing that the rank-and-file army has some dissention, doubt and fear within its ranks.
Question: If the U.S. comes barrelling in with guns and rockets a-blazing, and it looks pretty clear that we’re gonna hammer them, AND that as a result, Saddam is gonna either be killed or captured or sent into exile, can we expect a large number of Iraqi military to just toss their guns down and not fight?
This goes to the larger issue of living under the threat of death or imprisonment in Iraq if one goes against Saddam’s decrees. If Saddam isn’t there anymore, will his army just say “good, we don’t want to fight anyway”? Or have they lived for so long under his iron fist, in fear and ignorance, that they will just fight the good fight no matter what?