So what does it come down to? The pros and cons of this potential war?
Pros:
Hussein is removed from power. While I have no experience seeing the populace of Iraq, most reports stand that it is not a very pleasant place to live. With him out of power, the sanctions will end, as well. Standard of living for the Iraqi people will most likely improve as the years progress.
With Hussein gone, the potential threat to any allied countries–namely, Israel–in that region will be lowered. This doesn’t account for Palestinian zealots and terrorists, but Hussein, as a threat, will be gone. (The Hussein connection to Al-Qaeda has not been proven or disproven, so I can’t comment on that.)
The United Nations gets access to more Middle Eastern oil. As much as I dislike the idea, the entire western world runs on petroleum, and it’s become less of a want and more of a need since the start of the start of the twentieth century.
Cons:
Future problems–September 11th was a direct result of the United States’ CIA training and funding Bin Laden to fight the Soviets in the Cold War. The law of unforseen conesquences comes into play here; we simply don’t know what a war in the middle east might make the people in its yoke do. There could (and very likely will) be more terrorist attacks as a result; if not here, then possibly in Israel. War itself, while being a means to a greater end, can have some terrible ramifications. The defeated might very well have nothing to lose and would see no problem striking back at the country that conquered it.
Keeping the new Iraqi government up and running: this will be a large burden on the United Nations’ funds. I predict another large hike in the United States’ national deficet due to this. Maintaining a military prescence over there (as the western allies are doing in Afganistan and are also doing throughout the rest of the world) will cost huge amounts of money.
And finally, war itself. No war is ever fought without casualties. Hundreds or perhaps even thousands of people are going to die before this is all said and done. I predict the majority will be on the Iraqi side, but if Hussein displaces to Baghdad, the war could get very, very messy. It’s almost impossible to strike a city without innocent lives lost, and if it comes down to infantry going in and clearing the city a block at a time, allied casualties will increase expotentially. The enemy will know the city. And if they fight (as opposed to surrendering this time around) there could be many casualties. (One thing I was taught in MOUT training–Marine Operations in Urban Terrain–is that casualties in an enemy urban situation are always much larger than that of country or rural terrain).
Now, my opinion on this situation: I’m a Marine Reservist, so I can’t very well comment on battle conditions and what it’s like out in combat. A part of my unit was activated, and (in truth) I wanted to go myself. I like the life of being a grunt. I like being out in the field, stupid as that sounds. I can’t really explain why. But I’m at home, finishing up my college, and will probably go active as soon as I’m done.
War, in my opinion, should be an absolute last course of action–something to be used only when all other forms of diplomacy have failed. Have we come to that point yet? We’re close, I think. Hussein is in violation of UN mandate, and believes that the UN Inspectors are “spies.” If he kicks them out again Bush will see no other option but war.
Then again–in the end, it doesn’t matter what I think. I believe that Bush has a hard-on for the war, for whatever reasons he deems necessary. (Sure, I could bring up the argument that <i>he’s</i> not the one fighting, nor his daughters, and that his opinion might change if he himself had to grab a rifle and go into the desert, but that’s an argument without rationale; the fact stands that he’s the Commander-in-Chief, and wishing or believing that things should be any other way is a waste of time. What is is what <i>is</i>, and that’s all that’s relevant.) If we go to war–and consequentially, my mortar platoon gets activated–my opinions don’t matter; I’m there to do my job, and that’s it.
I did want to thank everyone on the boards for seeing this issue with logic (mostly) and common sense. Thank you very much for respecting all personnel in the military, no matter if we go to war or not. It’s not our decision; that’s up to the politicans, and thank you again for hating–or admiring–them as you see fit.
By the way, I know I posted a large number of statements in there that require cites. For those interested, I can go find some if you like. But then again, finding cites on the internet is kinda like asking for the truth from a pack of philosophers. Everyone has their own opinion. It’s not like everything on the internet is fact. 