Re-elections are a LONG way off. There’s no way to tell right now.
Besides, remember President Bush? *He *managed to get reelected.
True, but not the first one. And his numbers were through the roof 20 months prior to reelection.
Who? President Bush I? I’m just saying…way too early to tell.
Well, this round of betting started promising, but then everyone who bet was pro-Obama, sup with that? That’s like going all in with a pair of deuces. I think the bets of insincere individuals should be cancelled to make room for people who actually think they will win. Let’s see some transferring of funds from reps to dems, otherwise it’s not fun.
What is it with Birthers and lack of punctuation anyway?
kopek, since the money is gone from Elendil’s Heir, I’ll fund another $100 on the Obama side. Same rules: If Obama wins, you send me $20. If a Pub wins, I send you $20.
So the next five callers…er, posters…get to bet on Trump and Co.
There’s a difference between hoping that he wins and thinking that he actually will. Maybe the bettors were all just pessimists.
Bush was still benefiting from the surge in nationalism that followed 9/11.
Cool. More power to you!
Hey, I resent that. I said that I don’t hate him, and I think he’ll win, which hardly makes me pro-Obama.
FWIW, early polling shows GOP voters don’t much care for the field: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/04/19/poll-shows-gop-not-happy-with-its-prez-candidates/
Well, I lost that bet.
You might as well pay up now.
Oh come on, Obama could show up for the election with Satan’s head on a stick and the result would still come down to the economy and job situation.
Assuming that the last three posts are in reference to Osama bin Laden’s reported death-- I don’t think this makes it a foregone conclusion. The election is almost eighteen months away. This does work in Obama’s favor, but I don’t think this changes the political calculus much. Were it an October surprise, then sure, but this is too distant from the election to clinch it.
I remember Bush I’s approval rating soaring in the 90s after Gulf War I.
Who then failed to get re-elected in '92. This is definitely positive for Obama, and does increase his chances somewhat in the long term, but I don’t think this clinches it, or even close. If this were an October Surprise, then it might clinch it, but the election is just too far away.
Bingo. It looked like a waste of time to run against Bush Sr., so guys like Cuomo and Gore decided to skip 1992.
Hell, I was one of those people who assumed, after the Gulf War, that Bush I had a lock on re-election, so my crystal ball was just as bad as theirs.
Yeah, but the economy went in the tank after the Gulf War. This economy is already in the tank, and is almost certainly going to have picked up a bit by the election.
Plus, Bush I was painted into a corner by his own earlier promises (“no new taxes”). I can’t think of anything Obama’s said that could come back to haunt him like that. Hell, he’s already reneged on lots of things.
“I’ve never wished anyone dead, but I’ve read some obituaries with a great deal of satisfaction.” - Will Rogers
I agree that OBL’s death doesn’t guarantee the President’s reelection. It’s still a long time until Nov. 2012.