The subject of misjudging levels of risk is fascinating to me, and almost everyone, no matter how savvy otherwise, seems to have trouble rating risks. For example, in a conversation with an airline employee a few months ago, she extolled the virtues of her employer’s visibly decrepit fleet of aging, leased DC-9’s, then pointing to one of a competitor’s nearly new Canadair Regional Jets, said “You’d never get me up in one of those little things, they’re too small.” The fact that the example CRJ was much further away from the end of its fatigue life, only slightly smaller than a -9, contained much more advanced engines and equipment, and was otherwise the same configuration apparently meant nothing to her.
Re: the OP, after a quick skim, I agree with most of the article, although I don’t buy the comparison with natural disasters. For months in private discussions I’ve been saying that the amount being spent on response to the 9/11 attacks is disproportionally large. If there were such a statistic as ‘total amount of money spent per life lost’, including the cost of all the increased security measures (and the cost of the invasion of Afghanistan, since that would likely never have occurred without the impetus of 9/11), I wouldn’t be surprised if these were the most economically costly fatalities in recorded history. OTOH, since we apparently are perfectly willing to spend these record amounts without complaint, I suppose it doesn’t matter.
[Minor, er, hijack]
Of course, once the various agencies and government security fiefdoms have been put in place, it is unlikely we will ever be rid of them. One way they will be kept in place is by misusing statistics to show that they remain necessary. My favorite example (I 've been wanting to do this for some time) is this graph from the Transportation Security Administration’s web site, showing that from February to September of this year, more than 3 million proscribed items were confiscated from airline passengers (note that, presumably due to public interest, “boxcutters” are shown separately from “knives”).
So does this mean that 3 million attempted hijackings were thwarted during this period? Of course not. Were any attempted hijackings thwarted during this period, through the confiscation of these objects? Don’t know, doesn’t say; but I would presume if any had, the agency would have said so. So, 3 million items were confiscated and zero hijackings were thwarted. Value for money? Fucked if I know.
[/Minor hijack]