Interesting - COVID-19 predictions by state (U of Washington study)

The Quarantine Zone
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Basically it forecasts hospital bed needs, icu bed needs and ventilator needs, as well as cases and deaths by state and by day.

So you can look at say… New York and see that they predict 336 deaths today, as well as the numbers of ventilators, ICU beds and regular beds needed, and any deficits.

It’s interesting- some states like New York are predicted to get hammered, while others like Texas and California are projected not to have it so bad. I’m curious as to why that might be? Doesn’t really seem to follow a blue/red state or a north/south/east/west divide either.

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Wow. It says in Texas it won’t peak until mid-May.

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Just an FYI: between yesterday and today, a lot of states changed in terms of their peak date, ICU usage/shortfall, etc. It’s a fluid situation, the model basically can’t predict how well humans will socially distance and explicitly makes rosy assumptions there, and we’re still learning a ton about how the virus itself behaves. So if the data is meaningful to you, check back often!