Based on what data and what economic models? You’ll forgive me if I don’t just take your promise over the opinions of respected, albeit highly flawed, economists who provide ample hard data to back up their opinions.
Projected US Federal budgets are currently showing deficits of $500 billion annually over the next several years. And yes, of course, if you simply slashed $500 billion from the budget, growth would suffer and you’d hurt a lot of people in the process. But would that be because the $500 billion in deficit was the only thing propping up the economy? (“US Economic Growth is an illusion”). Or would it be because you sent a huge shock into the system by, suddenly and without-warning, completely trashing the stability of system without giving people time to slowly adjust first? Or would something else happen entirely?
If you try to raise interest rates, yes, history shows you reduce inflation and can harm growth. So yes, you’re likely correct that current rate hikes will hurt growth, based on current understanding. So then the near-term course of action is clear, which is what the “lying” Fed is doing: “Don’t raise rates until you have solid growth”, since raising rates at present does harm while providing somewhat fewer benefits.
You keep saying that any current economic growth is really just an illusion. And perhaps it is. The current prevailing opinion is that growth is there, but very sluggish, and there are “significant headwinds” to more solid growth. This is backed by the reported data, but I suppose the prevailing opinion could be wrong. But you fail to provide any hard data to support your claims which makes your claims worthless, regardless of whether or not they are true.
And to circle back, I fail to see how any of this demonstrates that the Fed is deliberately lying to people. They’re calling it like they see it, based on the data they and everyone else has in front of them.