Is it down to Kerry and Edwards now? Is Dean out of it? How about Clark?
Dean can come back. It’s not likely, and he’s been dealt several crippling blows, but if he managed to go back to what brought him to the table and rebound with more power than before… yeah, he could come back.
Not much of a chance.
Rest of them are dead men walking.
Sure looks like it’s Kerry and Edwards down the stretch. And Edwards better do some kickin’ song and dance to stay in the game.
Lieberman’s out. Clark’s out. Dean’s out. I just don’t see him coming back. He’s reported to be having money troubles and is banking one hell of a lot on Michigan coming up.
CNN.com is predicting Kerry for all primaries/caucuses today except Oklahoma and South Carolina, where they’re predicting Edwards. Dean doesn’t come within two places of the top spot anywhere but New Mexico. Of course, these are mostly incomplete yet.
Dean’s toast.
I don’t think Dean is going to come back, either, but he has the most chance of doing it of the three.
I know it’s only a few precincts in New Mexico so far, but I can’t decide whether or not to be surprised that Dean might take second or even first. As I said in another thread, I kinda have a hard time seeing the politics in New Mexico. I’m not as surprised that Clark is running third. Heck, I wouldn’t be surprised if Clark won or came in second.
It looks like Clark’s tying in Oklahoma with Edwards, 30% of votes apiece, with 97% of precincts reporting.
The SC race doesn’t bode well for Kerry in the South, though. He’s second to Edwards by a good 16% with 90% of precincts reporting.
What the heck are the Democrats thinking? Kerry is worse than Dukakis: boring but WITH skeletons all over his closet and a wacky, wacky family.
From what I can see Clark wins the OK primary by abt.1,000 out of abt.250k votes.
Not that this is much of an indicator since,IIRC,the delegates are apportioned by a formula somewhere along the vote pc.lines.
So between the 2 (actually 3 with Kerry’s 26%) of them they each get they’re just about even as far as delegate counts go and Clark picking up a couple in New Mex/Ariz to counterbalance Edward’s SC numbers somewhat.
I make them as tied at 2nd right now with Dean,as far as delegate nos.go.
The critical numbers,to me,appear to be how well Clark polls vs.Edwards in states away from the you all belt.If he can pull a few more delegates I’d expect him to keep up the fight until Mar.2.This doesn’t bode well for Edwards,IMO.Tho does for a running mate spot.
Clark doesn’t appear to balance anybody out with the possible exception of Dean-who should be toast by mar.2 anyway,if not before.
Lieberman has officially dropped out of the race.
Don’t count on Clark being out by any means. He needed to win one, and he did.
Expect me to be ringin’ your phone…
The question of who is the better man between Clark and Edwards will be decided by which is quicker to fold up his tent and throw his support to Kerry. Kerry’s numbers where he won are pretty heavy, stopping him would require heavy ammunition, on the order of being caught with a dead woman or a live boy.
The Dems have to settle this early, and with as much unity has humanly possible. GeeDubya has the money, which is almost as if he gets to look at this cards before deciding which are wild. Money spent on preliminary bouts is money squandered. The Dems don’t have that many rich folks, the Pubbies are a millionaire’s Rolodex.
As liberal wimps, we haven’t the heart (or lack thereof) to go out and “shoot the wounded”, as Lee Atwood had it. But I think we have the right to expect them to shoot themselves.
(In a manner of speaking, of course. But if I were to hear that Wolfowitz and Perle were scheduled to commit seppuku in the Rose Garden, I would “cancel all other entertainments in order to be in attendance.”)
It’s down to Kerry. I’ll put money on it if anyone is interested.
I don’t know about that, although I’m not confident enough to make a bet. We saw the first southern primary tonight, and it fell to Edwards. We saw the first Oklatexas-axis primary tonight and it fell to Clark.
Clark, I don’t think is good for anything at this point but VP-fodder. He’ll probably pick up Arkansas, but that’s a favorite son win.
Edwards, on the other hand, can quite possibly blow through the South like Hurricane Andrew. He ripped South Carolina out of Kerry’s hands.
Then again, Kerry will win Cali and NY, and those are the two with the largest pools of delegates.
I’d say Kerry’s the favorite, but Edwards isn’t going to be TOO far behind by the time we get to Super Tuesday and the majority of the Southern primaries.
Clark really broke the bank to get Oklahoma… Edwards did win South Carolina, but he was born there and also campaigned very hard there at the expense of going to other places.
Kerry’s going to have tough going in the South. He shouldn’t, but he will, because of his remark about not needing the South to win. Now, whether you take that as a casual statement of fact or a slap in the face, Southern Democrats in general have that much reason to deny him their vote.
Edwards’ biggest problem is all the people wondering why that psychic guys who talks to the dead is running for president. 
On what do you base this on?
I live in South Carolina, and I can tell you that Kerry pretty much blew us off. After Iowa and NH, Kerry tried to rally here with a TV blitz, but it was too late. Dean ran a strong campaign here, but Dean supporters are deserting a sinking ship, which helped Kerry.
Kerry’s comeback also hurt Wesley Clark, who campaigned hard for black and veteran votes here. John Edwards used his “born in SC, humble origins” schtick to win big.
I’d vote for Vlad the Impaler if he were the Dems choice against Bush.