Is it too early to say Romney has lost?

Obama spoke before a crowd of 30,000 people in Madison, Wisconsin today at a rally. They seem pretty happy to see him.

The President will be in Cleveland, Ohio tomorrow. As I learned when I volunteered tonight at his local campaign office, the tickets are already all gone (which is fine; I actually hadn’t planned on going).

Yes?

Weeks after they were revealed and after he defended them in spirit (if not in word) time and again, Romney finally admits that his 47% remarks were screwed up.

Unemployment rate went down to 7.8%!

Poor Mitt. He just can’t help flip-flopping.

Yes, I know, because I just saw it on CNN.com, NYTimes.com, Foxnews.com, Latimes.com, and even the Drudge Report! Okay, on Fox it was buried way down in something called “gretawire”, but still. Leave it to Fox…

Yeah, but didn’t something happen Wednesday night? I can’t recall the specifics… I have a vague memory of two guys on a stage… somebody help me out here…

I think the conventional wisdom (in other words, no cite) is that debates have only a marginal impact on the election outcome, unless either candidate does something incredibly stupid on stage. Which didn’t happen.

On the other hand, this election is all about the economy, as both candidates keep telling us. So the unemployment rate is very significant.

And regardless, there are virtually no “undecideds” left, so neither event is likely to alter the course of the election.

Can’t you trade on your celebrity status to get a ticket? :smiley:

So I guess we have the polling snapshot of the effects of Romney’s debate victory. He has pulled ahead in Florida and Virginia, but Ohio is kind of a wash, though the degree to which the race has tightened there is definitely a bit surprising.

This doesn’t reflect the great unemployment news, though, so we’ll see if any of this sticks. My guess is that Ohio will probably go back to near where it was pre-debates, but who knows about Florida and Virginia.

Seems like Romney has pulled ahead in Virginia and Florida and the race has tightened in Ohio.

Still out of touch?

Oh it’s at the top of FoxNews.com now, but it’s headlined like this:

They just needed a little bit more time this morning to figure out how to make the huge reduction in unemployment sound menacing.

Yes.

Wow! Mwhahahaha!

Don’t count your Mittens before they’re hatched…there was a jobs report out today that should have Romney huddled in a corner of his hotel room in a fetal position…

Seriously? You think a couple polls that show a slight shift to Romney in a couple battleground states from two well-known partisan polling firms is a slam dunk?

I’ll believe it when Nate Silver says it.

The RCP average still has Obama up by 0.5 in Florida. A statistical dead heat, but Romney hasn’t pulled ahead just yet. I didn’t check the other states.

Here you go: Ohio and Virginia.

Wait, I see that this is for Oct 4th. Please disregard! :smack:

And Nate is saying to wait a day or two until more and better polls can be conducted.