Yeah, failed predictions by people who have enough notoriety that they can capitalize on their few correct predictions, and failed predictions in an online bull session, matter the same. :rolleyes:
IOW, in a thread of predictions, the makers of predictions will gain a rhetorical advantage over the makers of other predictions by making predictions.
Yeah.
In a thread that was all about making predictions, all the participants were claiming insight and confidence by participating?
Okey-dokey.
Well, I could understand the logic of this if, like your psychics, posters on the Dope who had occasionally gotten lucky with some predictions were touting their success at making predictions.
The next time you see an example of that, by all means examine their track record in as much detail as you have the energy for.
No, I just think that we don’t normally go around re-examining everything everybody’s said about anything in the past, to see whether it was perceptive or stupid. Shall we, for instance, dig up what everybody here said about the Iraq War in the run-up and at various phases? Regardless of the extent to which people made or didn’t make predictions, people still active here said numerous things about how the war was playing out that can be tested against how things actually happened, and we can see who was right and who was wrong.
But what’s the point? Unless there’s a particular reason to resurrect an old thread for purposes of evaluating the wisdom or accuracy of the posts, you’re just doing it to say, “LOOK, EVERYBODY, I WAS RIGHT AND EVERYONE WHO DISAGREED WITH ME WAS WRONG!!!1!!1!”
Well, whoopee for you. And I was right about the Iraq war. Big whoop for me; I wish I had been wrong. What are we going to do with this, create some sort of master scorecard?