I normally have nothing but disdain for conspiracy theories and those who embrace them based on “gut-feelings” and scant or no evidence.
Why? Because people are bad at keeping secrets. (score settling, arrogance, stupidity, pillow talk, the list is endless) so that even without the crushing amount of evidence supporting things such as the moon landing happening, 9/11 being the work of terrorists, it is simply astronomically unlikely that enough people would go along such things.
This being the SDMB, I assume that 99% of you agree with the above.
With this preamble out of the way, there actually is mounting and plausible evidence of Trump being beholden to Putin.
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Putin supported his presidency very early on.
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Trump did travel to Russia and stayed in Hotel suites that could very likely have been bugged.
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Trump is known to dally around with women who are not his wives.
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Trump was accused of offering money ($10k) to a porn actress to have sex with him.
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Trump was repeatedly accused of offering “perks” to women when trying to sleep with them
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Trump had known irrational animosity and envy for the Obamas. (birther thing, aping their inauguration cake come to mind).
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Trump likes slavic women.
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The report on his golden shower thing comes from a respected ex-intelligence officer
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The report on his golden shower thing was not timed to help with the election, which gives it more credence.
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The report lines up with everything I just mentioned. Just weird enough to be true. If I were making something like that up, I wouldn’t include any golden shower reference. It’s enough to have video of him having sex with prostitutes.
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Trump’s reaction to it (calling it “fake news”) is exactly his modus operandi when he’s lying. (this is flimsy though because of his personality, another president would have just ignored the whole thing).
*Trump kept praising putin as a candidate, which is something no candidate ever does this since russians/iranians/chinese can’t vote. The same thing goes in other countries. Anti-US rhetoric in Iran or wherever else is par for the course during elections. Then after the election, everybody softens up,
- Despite all these damaging rumors, Trump is still praising putin, talking about suspending sanctions (under the bullshit guise of anti-terror cooperation) when the politically sane thing to do would be to be “strong” on Russia. Doesn’t seem to make sense. He has nothing to gain by lifting sanctions. (unlike, say, anti-abortion policies which are at least popular with his base, if unpopular with most of the electorate).
Now All of this was known to me and I still didn’t think it was enough evidence. I don’t subscribe to the old “where there is smoke, there is fire” adage. Sometimes, the smoke is manufactured bullshit (IE: benghazi, emails).
But now, the purges at the FSB appear to be a response to the report. Why else would they happen if the report was fake and nobody leaked real intel? (could be other reasons, of course, but the timing is certainly suspicious)
Finally, actual investigations have been opened on his potential as a compromised russian asset, by actual U.S agencies…this is unprecedented AFAIK.
In other words, to come back full circle to my initial disclaimer. THIS is what I think it would look like if a real conspiracy existed. lots of leaks and corroborating circumstantial evidence.
I hate to say it but I’m starting to wonder if this could be actually, possibly be true. As in, a 10% chance, which may sound small but is actually enormous for something so…so…horrifying.
So, I ask you, what is the probability of this craziness being true, given all this circumstantial evidence?
For reference I believe there is basically 0% chance of the election having been hacked (as in vote tallies) and there is a 90%+ chance of Russia being behind the Podesta emails being leaked to Wikileaks.
What do you guys think?