Well, like the title thread I should be doing some school work now but I decided to follow some random link in Wikipedia from paradoxes to time-travel-to more paradoxes to free-will… Bleh… Some sites can actually ruin a lot of time! There is just way too much info on wikipedia!
Okay well. I was going through the idea that one leading proponent of determinism had that basically stated that the future is the result of the sum of all past events. It seems logical enough. If our universe was a big bowl with marbles rolling around in it, I am sure that all of the events of the past could allow someone to predict what would happen in any point in the future. Well what if you made it more complex and instead of a bowl with two marbles rolling around it were 10. Sure, you would probably need to have a lot more info, but if your information in the beginning were perfect about the laws of nature and the positions of all of the balls at the start, then you could possibly predict what happens to all of these balls.
Obviously there is no human capable of predicting these things, but if there was an omnicient being who has witnessed the universe from the beginning, then he would have perfect knowledge of everything in the universe and would therefore be able to predict everything. I’ll use myself as an example.
I decided to go to Germany about 2 and a half years ago. To me this was totally random, and was caused by my meeting of Germans when I was studying in Spain. This is a complete chance encounter, and even I didn’t know if I wanted to go. That would seem like free will, right?
Then I think of it from the position of the omnicent being. He knows everythign about my body, where the atoms are, and understands exactly how my genetic makeup will function. As a human being, I make deciscions every day about various things, all of them are based on what I believe would produce the most favorable outcome. But this being, knowing everything, would have an entire map of my brain, and would know that I would ALWAYS predict the most favorable outcome. Of course there are people that do things that do things against what they percieve as the best outcome, but there is always a reason for it, namely stress, insanity, and other factors that can be predicted if one knows everythign else that is going to happen. If we would be able to compute the balls rolling around in the bowl knowing what we know about clasical mechanics, couldn’t the omniscient being knowing everything about every single rule in the universe, and every single unit be able to predict these complex systems predict what would happen. Of course classical mechanics is an incomplete description of what happens to the balls rolling around in the bowl, but lets assume that it is and that there is no friction whatsoever, so that all energy is conserved and it continues on forever.
Basically I only see the idea of randomness coming in the way of the omniscient being knowing exactly what will happen. But would it be possible for something to be random to an omniscient being? Randomness is something that can’t be predicted. But maybe there is something that explains randomness predictably. Then it would cease to be random, but most likely we wouldn’t really be able to do it. So basically free will depends on randomness. If randomness truely exists, then we have no way of having free will ourside of parallel universes and such. But to me that poses a whole new set of problems.
Obviously I havne’t studied this much as others, but that’s why I’m posing this here
I generally belive that the Universe is completely knowable. Just think about what we felt about Chaos theory, and other things? Human knowledge has progressed from understanding ever-more complicated ideas from previous ignorance. Consider the ideas of not understanding molecules, and atoms. Humans have previously lived in a world where disease was predicted by magic, and celestial bodies were explained by religion. Who is to say that there is a limit to understanding? I don’t believe it. So this makes me believe that the Universe is indeed totally understandable and the laws that govern it are also completely knowable. Obviously this isn’t possible to a human, but if such a perfect being existed, then he would know what we would do. Therefore if it is knowable what we will do, then free will is only an illusion.
There is obviously a few questions I have though… What if two things, whose outcome was dependant on the other had to occur at the same time? On the one hand I think of the balls. Obviously they contact each other at the same time, and the outcome is knowable by knowing the previous states and the motion, mass, etc of the the balls involved. This makes me think that this argument isn’t really valid.
This idea of determinism doesn’t seem to have any problems with time travel, because any actions of a time traveler would simply be viewable from the past, and any alterations on the past would be manifest in the future. Of course the omniscient being could see all of this anyway. The whole problem with time travel paradoxes to me would be that anyone acting on their own free will would just be able to alter the world as they chose, but if there is no free will, then they will just be doing what they are supposed to.
If free will doesn’t exist, why do we really believe that it does? One theory that has been offered is that it was an evolutionary advantage to humans. That is to say that of the humans that were propogated due to the already determined outcome were more likely to have the makeup to “choose” better outcomes for survival. Of course they didn’t choose, but their circumstances allowed them to procreate more because of their mutation which would also be knowable to the omniscient being. So this all seems to jibe to me.
But another way to look at it would be, what exactly is free will? Did it even really exist before the enlightment? Most surfs proably didn’t have the same sense of free will as we do. Sure they could believe that they had control over where they may sleep, or whatnot, but they knew that they could never be king, and they had no way of believing that they could be king. Many things were explained by the fact that it was God’s will, which would be unified since it would be composed by a single beign. Talk today to somene and tell them that, under no circumstances can he become president of the United States. My own sense of free will tells me that it is highly unlikely, but on the ohter hand there is the part of me that says, if I devoted every single effort I had to this talk that it is possible.
But then what about fatalism? If I come to realize that I have no control over free will, then I would say that it doesn’t matter what I do about it? On the other hand, I’ll never really know, will I? I can only predict that I will act in a manner that is predictable to some omniscient being. Couldn’t I just let my life go on autopilot? Well, I suppose I could, but that would mean that the omniscient being would have been able to see my theory from the beginning and realize that this would influence my deciscions to those that would be less conducive to success.
So this is awfully confusing now. My deciscion will affect the rest of my life, but that deciscion is predictable by the past. If I decide to still take my life by the horns and do everything in my power to take control of my life, it will only be becasue it is the logical outcome of every factor that came up in the universe beforehand.
What about religion?
What do you guys think about all of this?