Joe Arpaio is running for US Senate seat.

[HurricaneDitka]

I started a thread about this a few months ago. At the time I said:

@HurricaneDitka

… here’s my WAG thinking:

1. 10% chance he runs

2. (assuming he does run) 25% chance he wins the Republican nomination

3. (assuming he wins the R nomination) 40% chance he wins the seat